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Tag: bounce

  • Gold Prices in Vietnam Bounce Back: An Afternoon Recovery Amidst Global Economic Uncertainty

    Gold Prices in Vietnam Bounce Back: An Afternoon Recovery Amidst Global Economic Uncertainty

    On Monday afternoon, gold prices in Vietnam witnessed a minor recovery following a more than 1% decline earlier in the session. After a challenging morning period, the Saigon Jewelry Company reported a 0.55% rise in their gold bar price, bringing it to VND184.1 million (US$6,965.01) per tael and reducing the day’s losses to 0.49%. For reference, a tael is equivalent to 37.5 grams or 1.2 ounces.

    Despite the global price for gold, the cost of the precious metal in Vietnam remains significantly higher. In particular, local bullion prices exceed the global rates by more than VND21 million per tael.

    The price of gold rings also rebounded on Monday, returning to VND183.8 million per tael, marking a 0.49% decrease for the day.

    Global Gold Market Conditions

    Internationally, spot gold fell 1.3% to $5,104 per ounce after a more than 2% decrease earlier in the session. This shift comes as geopolitical tensions in Iran escalate, resulting in a squeeze on world energy supplies. These circumstances also caused a boost in the dollar and a dampening in expectations for interest-rate cuts.

    The dollar is currently near a three-month high, which makes bullion more expensive for those dealing in other currencies. Inflation fears fueled by oil prices and expectations of delayed rate cuts likely strengthened U.S. yields and the dollar. This scenario outweighed the demand for safe-haven assets, pushing the price of gold downwards.

    However, gold prices have still risen approximately 18% this year, despite choppy trading conditions and stalled upward momentum.

    Christopher Wong, an OCBC strategist, commented on the situation. He noted that during periods of high geopolitical market stress, investors often sell assets like gold to raise cash. However, once this phase passes, the uncertainty usually continues to underpin demand for safe havens such as gold.

    Questions & Answers

    What was the gold price situation in Vietnam on Monday?
    On Monday, gold prices in Vietnam partially recovered following a more than 1% decrease earlier in the day. By the afternoon, the Saigon Jewelry Company’s gold bar price had risen 0.55%, taking it to VND184.1 million (US$6,965.01) per tael and reducing the day’s losses to 0.49%.

    What is the difference between local bullion prices and global rates in Vietnam?
    Despite global prices for gold, the cost in Vietnam remains significantly higher. More specifically, local bullion prices are more than VND21 million per tael higher than the global rates.

    What factors contributed to the global decrease in gold prices?
    The global decrease in gold prices was largely due to escalating geopolitical tensions in Iran, which resulted in a squeeze on world energy supplies, a stronger dollar, and lessened expectations for interest-rate cuts. This shift pushed the price of gold downwards, despite it being a safe-haven asset.

  • Revival on the Horizon: Metro Manila Retail Vacancy Rate Expected to Bounce Back to Pre-Pandemic Figures

    Revival on the Horizon: Metro Manila Retail Vacancy Rate Expected to Bounce Back to Pre-Pandemic Figures

    The retail vacancy rate in Metro Manila is projected to return to pre-pandemic levels by 2022, according to a recent study by Colliers Philippines. The rate of empty retail spaces in Metro Manila eased to 11.4% as of September 30, 2021. By the close of next year, forecasts indicate a reduction to 9.5%, almost matching the 9.3% recorded in the third quarter of 2019.

    Long-Term Forecasts

    The report also offers long-term projections, with a predicted rate of 8.2% by the end of 2027. This figure is notably lower than the pre-pandemic benchmarks, signaling a positive recovery trend for the retail sector in the region.

    The study attributes the anticipated improvement to two main factors. The first is the continuous entry of international retail brands into the Filipino market. The second is the rapid expansion of existing brands.

    The Role of Foreign Brands

    According to Joey Bondoc, Research Director at Colliers, foreign brands play a crucial role in this trend. He noted that many of these brands have previously exited the market but are now making a significant comeback.

    Bondoc further highlighted the attractive refurbishment strategies of major developers in the region, which are drawing in these companies. These refurbishments are focusing more on experiential retail, adding another layer of attraction for both brands and consumers.

    Industries Occupying Retail Spaces

    The report also shed light on the dominant industries in retail space occupancy. The food and beverage sector, fast fashion, and general retail were listed as the primary occupiers of retail spaces. Their continued presence and growth contribute to the overall decreasing trend of retail vacancies.

    Questions & Answers

    What is the anticipated retail vacancy rate in Metro Manila by the end of 2022?
    The retail vacancy rate is expected to decrease to 9.5% by the end of 2022.

    What factors are contributing to the decrease in retail vacancies?
    The entry of foreign retail brands into the Philippines market and the accelerated expansion of existing brands are primarily driving this improvement.

    Which industries are the biggest occupiers of retail space in Metro Manila?
    The food and beverage sector, fast fashion, and general retail industries are the main occupiers of retail spaces.