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Tag: central banking

  • US Dollar Dips to VND26,200 as State Bank of Vietnam Sets Record Rate

    US Dollar Dips to VND26,200 as State Bank of Vietnam Sets Record Rate

    Vietcombank trimmed its selling rate for the US dollar by 0.02 percent to VND26,200 on Friday, easing pressure on commercial foreign exchange counters across Vietnam.

    The State Bank of Vietnam lifted its daily central reference rate by 0.02 percent to a fresh peak of VND25,637. That adjustment set the official trading band for commercial lenders while unofficial street trade moved in the opposite direction.

    Divergence Between Official Banks and Street Trade

    Unofficial money changers pushed the greenback up by 0.23 percent to trade near VND25,880. The gap left street desks pricing dollars below the headline counters at major state lenders, reversing the usual premium seen during periods of sharp currency volatility.

    Trading desks in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi handled the adjustments without disruption to trade settlement. Commercial importers purchasing intermediate goods face stable landed costs at these levels, though the high central baseline keeps financing charges elevated across foreign currency credit lines.

    Regional Pressures and Central Bank Policy

    Currency desks across Southeast Asia monitored broader central bank actions as policymakers continued tightening cycles to curb imported inflation. The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark rate to 1.25 percent, marking a 31-year peak for Japanese borrowing costs.

    That policy tightening softened the yen by 0.5 percent to 156.75 per dollar, even as Tokyo’s currency retained a month-to-date gain of nearly 2 percent. A fluctuating yen shifts sourcing calculations for Vietnamese consumer electronics assemblers and industrial component suppliers that invoice contracts in Japanese currency.

    Global Dollar Index Softens Against Major Pairs

    International foreign exchange trading saw the broader US dollar index slide 0.1 percent to 100.1900. The slight retreat gave Asian central banks room to adjust baseline pegs without triggering sharp outflows from local debt markets.

    European currencies notched modest gains during the session. The British pound strengthened 0.1 percent to $1.3374 while the euro rose by the same margin to trade at $1.1491, offering mild relief to Vietnamese apparel and footwear exporters booking revenue from European retail orders.

    Operational Risks for Importers and Retailers

    Consumer goods distributors in Vietnam operate on tight margins where small exchange fluctuations determine quarterly profitability. Sustained rates near the VND26,000 threshold force brand owners to choose between absorbing currency conversion losses or raising shelf prices across imported grocery, cosmetics and packaged foods.

    Inventory planners heading into the final quarter will track the State Bank of Vietnam’s daily fixings against commercial bank ceilings. The immediate figure to watch is whether commercial selling rates stay anchored near VND26,200 as global central banks complete their latest policy reviews.

  • State Bank of Pakistan Holds Benchmark Interest Rate at 11.5%

    State Bank of Pakistan Holds Benchmark Interest Rate at 11.5%

    The State Bank of Pakistan kept its benchmark interest rate at 11.5 per cent on Monday, pausing monetary adjustments after a divided committee vote.

    Seven of the ten Monetary Policy Committee members backed the hold. They resisted calls for an increase after annual headline inflation accelerated to 11.1 per cent in August from 9.2 per cent in July.

    Officials attributed the decision to Middle East geopolitical friction, which lifted global oil prices and strained supply chains. Domestic core inflation came in slightly below central bank expectations. Remittance flows and external financing helped stabilize the balance of payments.

    Inflation Pressures and Factory Output

    Consumer and corporate sentiment deteriorated heading into September as both groups reported higher price expectations. Industrial production softened at the end of the fiscal year. Large-scale manufacturing output fell 3.5 per cent in June, capping cumulative growth for the year ended June 2026 at 5 per cent.

    For retail chains and consumer goods manufacturers in Pakistan, elevated borrowing costs continue to weigh on inventory financing and store expansions. Policy settings remain adequate to steer inflation toward the medium-term target band of 5 to 7 per cent, the central bank said.

    High interest rates and rising energy tariffs continue to squeeze household disposable incomes in urban retail centers. Consumer businesses face an ongoing margin crunch. Production and transport expenses are climbing faster than shelf prices can adjust.

    Foreign Reserves and Fiscal Buffers

    State finances found temporary relief through higher non-tax revenue and sovereign debt operations. Moody’s upgraded Pakistan’s sovereign credit rating to B3 with a stable outlook after a 3 billion dollar Eurobond issuance lifted foreign exchange reserves above 21 billion dollars.

    Fiscal consolidation beat initial targets after the central bank transferred 1.9 trillion rupees in profit to the federal government, against a budgeted 1.4 trillion rupees. Revenue collection by the Federal Board of Revenue also met targets during July and August.

    Shifting Policy Trajectory

    Monday’s pause follows a 100-basis-point rate hike in April, the central bank’s first monetary tightening in nearly three years. Before that increase, the benchmark rate held at 10.5 per cent through the first quarter after a surprise 50-basis-point cut in December 2025.

    The benchmark rate sits well below the peak of 22 per cent recorded in June 2023. That reflects 1,050 basis points of cumulative easing since mid-2024 as price spikes receded from record highs.

    Committee members will review the policy stance again at the next meeting, tracking crude import bills and the September consumer price index.