Tag: Corporate News

  • Malaysia’s retail industry may grow by 6% this year

    Malaysia’s retail industry may grow by 6% this year

    Malaysia’s retail industry is expected to grow by 5.9% in the third quarter of this year, boosted by the timing of the Hari Raya holidays, according to Retail Group Malaysia (RGM) in the latest Malaysia Retail Industry Report.

    RGM said the projected growth would also be spurred by the Minimum Wages Order 2016 that was implemented on July 1.

    “For civil servants in Malaysia, the minimum wage increased to RM1,200 per month. This has raised the average purchasing power of the Malaysian working population to some extent,” RGM said.

    It added that the Pokemon Go app launched in Malaysia this month had also attracted more visitors to shopping centres and retail outlets throughout the country.

    “Nevertheless, it is not expected to contribute significantly to retail sales. Food and beverage outlets and grocery stores located near to Pokestops will benefit the most from this craze.”

    Mall operator Sunway Malls, in a recent statement, said Pokemon Go had resulted in a surge in traffic and sales numbers at its shopping centres locally.

    “To date, we have seen traffic increase by an average of 10% for Sunway Pyramid (pic), 8% for Sunway Giza, 6% for Sunway Putra Mall, and 4% for Sunway Carnival Mall,” said Sunway Malls chief operating officer Kevin Tan.

    “It is widely known that malls in general have high traffic during the festive period and school holidays, but the introduction of Pokémon Go has certainly spiked up the footfall for the non-peak season.”

    Meanwhile, RGM said retailers in the fashion and fashion accessories sector expected their business to slow down again, with a positive growth of only 0.2% during the third quarter of this year.

    “Retailers in the pharmacy and personal care sub-sector are expecting to maintain their recovery with a growth of 11.4% during the third quarter of 2016.”

    MIDF Research, in a report earlier this month, said it was optimistic that the launch of the new Perodua Bezza and Proton’s new batch of models, combined with the launching of new smart devices, will boost retail sales in the second half of 2016.

    Moving forward, RGM said the Malaysian retail industry’s fourth-quarter growth rate estimate remained at 5.5%, taking into consideration the growth of 1.3% achieved during the same period a year ago.

    “The projected retail sales growth rate of Malaysia’s retail industry in 2016 by RGM stays at 3.5% or RM99.5bil in values.”

    The Malaysian retail industry reported a lower-than-expected growth rate of 7.5% in the second quarter of this year compared with the same period last year.

  • Gas Malaysia Q1 earnings beat CIMB Research forecast

    Gas Malaysia Q1 earnings beat CIMB Research forecast

    Gas Malaysia’s 1Q16 net profit, which rose 10% on-year to RM31mil (US$8mil), was at 29% of CIMB Equities Research’s full-year forecast and 24% of consensus.

    The research house said on Thursday the higher earnings were due to lower tax rate and lower losses from its joint venture. Its tax rate fell from 25% in 1Q15 to 21% during the quarter as it reversed some of its deferred tax liabilities.

    “We gather from the company that its tax rates should normalise closer to the statutory rate of 24% in the coming quarters. As for the joint venture, its losses narrowed from RM1.7mil in 1Q15 to RM100,000 in 1Q16. We believe this was due to lower start-up cost during the quarter,” it said.

    CIMB Research raised its FY16-18F EPS by 1%-4% to reflect the lower tax rate. However, it maintained its sum-of-parts based target price of RM1.80, which is 21.7% below the last traded price of RM2.30, and also its reduce call due to its expensive valuation.

    “We prefer Tenaga for its lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and more exciting earnings growth prospects,” it said.

    The incentive-based regulation (IBR) that regulates Gas Malaysia’s tariff and earnings was implemented on Jan 1, 2016. 1Q16 results are the first set of quarterly results reported by Gas Malaysia under the IBR.

    To recap, Gas Malaysia had previously revealed that the allowable WACC for its pipeline assets was set at 8% under the IBR, though it was still consulting with the regulator for a higher rate of return. CIMB Research assumed an allowable WACC of 8% in its earnings forecasts.

    “Although Gas Malaysia’s 1Q16 earnings beat our expectation, we are keeping our assumption as the outperformance was due mainly to the lower tax rate. Gas Malaysia’s 1Q16 EBITDA met our expectation as it accounted for 26% of our full-year forecast,” it said.

    CIMB Research also said there is no guarantee that Gas Malaysia will be allowed to earn the retail margin. A
    lower-than-expected margin approved, if at all, may de-rate the stock. Also, Gas Malaysia trades at 26 times CY16F P/E, higher than PetGas’s 23 times and Tenaga’s 11 times.

    “The latter two, especially Tenaga (Add, TP: RM16.40), provide cheaper exposure to the utilities sector. For exposure to the gas infrastructure sector, we prefer PetGas (Hold, TP: RM22.30) for its stronger earnings resiliency,” it said.