Tag: Finance

  • Malaysia’s economy likely to grow in Feb to April 2019

    Malaysia’s economy likely to grow in Feb to April 2019

    Malaysia’s economy is likely to grow in February to April 2019, according to the performance of Malaysian Economic Indicators: Leading, Coincident & Lagging Indexes for October 2018 that was released last monday. Chief statistician Malaysia Datuk Seri Dr Mohd Uzir Mahidin said the monthly change of Leading Index (LI) augmented in October 2018, registering a growth of 1.2% to attain 119.3 points from 117.9 points in the previous month, primarily due to the increase of real imports of other basic precious & other non-ferrous metals (0.4%).

    “The annual change of LI showed an improvement from negative 1.7% in September 2018 to negative 0.7% in October 2018. The composite of LI is designed to monitor the economic performance direction in an average of four to six months ahead,” he said in a statement.

    On the same note, he stated that the Coincident Index (CI), which reflects the current economic activity, rose 1.0% in October 2018. Two components that contributed significantly to the increase were volume index of retail trade (0.5%) and real contributions to EPF (0.2%). At the same time, the annual change of CI grew further to 3.9% in October 2018 as against 3.4% in the previous month.

  • Auto industry revs up industrial real estate in Vietnam

    Auto industry revs up industrial real estate in Vietnam

    Industrial real estate developers have been reaping the benefits of the investment surge into Vietnam’s automobile industry. Over the past three years, auto producers from Europe, the U.S. and Asia have been increasingly renting out industrial space and manufacturing facilities in Vietnam, giving real estate developers a significant boost.

    This is the conclusion drawn by a recent report by real estate service firm CBRE Vietnam which evaluates the impact of growth of the Vietnamese automobile industry on the industrial real estate market.

    The report notes that Camoplast Solideal from Luxembourg has rented 70,000 square meters of land to open a tire factory, and Schaeffler from Germany, 55,000 square meters to develop production facilities.

    Mercedes from Germany has rented 5,500 square meters of land to open a distribution center, while Bentley from the United Kingdom has rented 5,000 square meters for a showroom and service center.

    Yazaki of Japan has rented 39,000 square meters for electric car cable production, and Mogul Federal from the U.S. 5,000 square meters to make seats.

    The CBRE report says that although Vietnam’s car manufacturing sector may be behind some other ASEAN countries, the consolidation of cleared land allocated for automobile production is increasing.

    For both foreign and domestic producers, manufacturing facilities are mainly clustered in the north. Auto producers tend to choose this area to rent industrial land, the CBRE report says.

    Due to higher demand for industrial land, rentals have increased, recently.

    At an industrial park in southern province of Dong Nai, the price to rent industrial land for long-term leases of up to 50 years reached $90 per square meter last month, up from $60 to $70 last year.

    The average rent of industrial land in northern Vietnam hit $82 per square meter per lease term in Q3, an increase of nearly 9 percent compared to Q1, according to a report by real estate service firm Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL).

    Hanoi’s average rents increased significantly to $137 per square meter per lease term, the highest in the north, driven by limited supply.

    There are only 358 businesses in the auto industry in Vietnam compared to 2,500 in Thailand, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade, and observers have said that the potential for growth is high.

  • Vietnam wants China to import more, invest more

    Vietnam wants China to import more, invest more

    China should increase imports of Vietnamese goods and make more hi-tech investments, government officials and business representatives say. Le Hoai Trung, Vietnam’s Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, proposed at the Vietnam-China Economic Promotion Forum Thursday that China creates more favorable conditions for more Vietnamese goods to enter the country through border gates.

    “We hope that the Chinese government will be more open to the Vietnam market, especially for products that Vietnam has strong supply and China has high demand for, such as rice, pork, milk, agriculture, seafood, electronics and consumer goods,” Trung said in the forum attended by 500 Vietnamese government and business representatives and 200 Chinese counterparts.

    Vietnam has a high trade deficit with China. From January to November, the country exported $37.7 billion worth of goods to China and imported $59.6 billion, a trade deficit of $21.9 billion, according to Vietnam Customs.

    Vu Tien Loc, chairman of the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said: “Although Vietnam’s exports to China have been increasing this year and trade deficit is declining, I don’t think this trend will be sustainable.”

    He said it would require a big effort from authorities to pave the way for Vietnamese goods, especially agriculture products, to enter China.

    Loc also proposed that that unofficial trade activities between the two countries at the border be formalized to guarantee long-term benefits for both sides.

    As protectionism in the world rises, Vietnam and China need to cooperate to control trade cheating, like Chinese businesses exporting its goods via Vietnam to other countries, which would impact on sustainable development of both countries, Loc said.

    Trung said at the forum that Vietnam welcomes foreign direct investment from China that is focused on high technology in infrastructure, supporting industry and agriculture.

    He added that Chinese FDI businesses should ensure environmental protection and Vietnamese labors’ benefits when investing in the country.

    Loc added that China, as a leading country in the world in the high-tech sector, can provide this kind of investment to Vietnam.

    “Vietnam is looking for a new type of foreign investment which has higher quality, integrate more with Vietnamese businesses using high-technology which are environment-friendly,” he said.

    China is Vietnam’s largest import market, while Vietnam is China’s largest trading partner in ASEAN and the 8th in the world.

    From January to November, bilateral trade turnover reached over $97 billion, up 16.5 percent year-on-year, according to official data.

    China has invested in over 2,000 projects in Vietnam, with a total registered capital of $13 billion. It ranks 7th out of 129 countries with FDI in Vietnam.

  • Asian stocks slump after Fed raises interest rates

    Asian stocks slump after Fed raises interest rates

    Tokyo led a rout of Asian shares today, mirroring big losses on Wall Street after the Federal Reserve (Fed) defied unprecedented pressure from US President Donald Trump and raised interest rates, sparking fears the move could choke economic growth.

    The Nikkei plunged to a 15-month low as investors took fright over the pace of monetary tightening, with a slump triggered by the Dow’s fall to its lowest level of 2018 gathering pace.

    The Fed raised rates for the fourth time this year – as expected – but markets reacted badly after chairman Jerome Powell said the bank would not shift course on reducing its balance sheet.

    Investors had hoped for a less aggressive approach amid concern that global growth is slowing, while Powell played down the impact of recent market turmoil on the US economy.

    “They think the Fed has completely misjudged the situation and now it’s just a matter of … trying to find an exit while you can,“ said Kyle Rodda, a market analyst at IG Group in Melbourne.

    “We’re probably entering a stage now where markets have got it (in) their head that we’re preparing for quite sustained downside going into 2019.”

    The Fed now projects only two interest rate increases, down from three previously, as it trimmed its forecast for US growth and inflation.

    Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trade at OANDA, said the “Fed delivered a dovish hike, but clearly, there wasn’t enough affirmation in the statement that the Fed was close to pausing or ending their interest rate hike cycle sooner than expected”.

    But some analysts urged caution.

    “The market overreacted to the Fed, I think,“ said Shane Oliver, head of invest-ment strategy at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney.

    “It is moving in a dovish direction and is on track for a pause in the first half of next year. Markets are being driven by fear rather than fundamentals.”

    But the spillover from the rate hike continued to rattle investors in Asia today, deepening concern over global growth prospects which are already facing headwinds from Trump’s trade war with Beijing, a slowing Chinese economy, and potential turmoil from Britain quitting the European Union.

    Japanese stocks also declined after the Bank of Japan left ultralow rates unchanged, with the threat of trade protectionism and slowing global growth casting a pall over the export-driven economy. A strong yen also put downward pressure on stocks with the dollar falling below ¥112.

    Nissan dropped more than 2% after a Japanese court rejected prosecutors’ request to extend the detention of former Nissan chairman Carlos Ghosn after his arrest for financial misconduct.

    Shanghai fell more than 0.5%, even after the People’s Bank of China said it would supply lower-cost liquidity for up to three years to banks willing to lend more to small companies, as policy makers aim to shore up the flagging economy.

    Sydney closed more than 1% lower while Hong Kong and Seoul were down 0.9% each.

    The equities slump spread to Europe. Around 1100 GMT, London’s benchmark FTSE 100 index was down 0.5% with losses capped by stronger-than-expected UK retail sales data and as traders looked ahead to the outcome of the Bank of England’s regular monetary policy meeting later today.

    In the eurozone, Frankfurt’s DAX 30 shed 1.0% and the Paris CAC 40 slumped 1.5%.

  • Malaysia attracts RM139b investments in January to September

    Malaysia attracts RM139b investments in January to September

    Malaysia attracted a total of RM139.3 billion worth of investments in the manufacturing, services and primary sectors in the first nine months of 2018, up 18 per cent from RM118.1 billion approved in the same period last year. In a statement, Malaysian Investment Development Authority (Mida) said the total investments approved in January-September 2018 were from 3,243 projects, which are expected to generate 93,379 job opportunities for the country.

    “Approved foreign direct investments (FDI) increased by 109.7% to RM64.1 billion in January-September 2018 from RM30.5 billion in the same period last year, mainly driven by the manufacturing sector which recorded a strong increase of 249.4% in the period.

    “Approved FDI in the primary sector rose by 99.3% which indicated that investor confidence in Malaysia remains high despite the challenging global economic environment. Domestic investments led with RM75.2 billion, contributing 54% to the total approved investments in all three sectors,” it said.

    Mida said Malaysia continued to be a competitive location for manufacturing projects with a total of 468 projects worth RM59.1 billion approved in January-September 2018, compared with RM34.6 billion involving 463 projects in the corresponding period in 2017, representing an increase of 70.5% in capital investments.

    “Foreign investments approved in the manufacturing sector recorded a total of RM48.8 billion for January-September 2018, a rise of 249.4% from RM13.9 billion in the same period last year.

    “China accounted for RM15.6 billion or 32 per cent of total foreign investments, followed by Indonesia (18.4%), the Netherlands (17%), the US (6.3%), Korea (4.9%) and Japan (4.3%),” it added.

    For the services sector, Mida said approved investments amounted to RM69.9 billion compared with RM74.2 billion recorded in the corresponding period in 2017, consisting of 2,721 projects, which are expected to create 50,896 job opportunities.

    “Domestic investments made up the largest portion, recording RM60.4 billion or 86.4% of the total approved investments for the services sector during this period. The balance of RM9.5 billion were from foreign sources.

    “The services sub-sectors that showed increase in approved investments were healthcare, education, global establishments, real estate, and supporting services,” it added.

  • 7-Eleven Malaysia mulls float

    7-Eleven Malaysia mulls float

    The 7-Eleven Malaysia business may be floated. Malaysian businessman Tan Sri Vincent Tan is considering turning over his shareholding in convenience store operator 7-Eleven to his Berjaya Corp Bhd group. Maintaining that the share price of 7-Eleven is undervalued on Bursa Malaysia, Tan claims that the business, currently valued at RM1.43 billion (US$342 million) should be worth more than US$1 billion.

    The chain has 2250 locations within the territory, and according to Tan aims to open at least another 200 stores next year.

    “We are considering maybe sell all my 46 per cent shareholdings in 7-Eleven to BCorp, then let BCorp launch a General Offer (GO), but nothing is firmed yet,” he said.

    The businessman owns 48.33 per cent of Berjaya Corp, which is valued at around RM1.35 billion (US$323 million).

  • Vietnam to top 7 pct growth in 2018 and 2019

    Vietnam to top 7 pct growth in 2018 and 2019

    Vietnam may grow more than 7 percent in 2018, the highest in 10 years, and is likely to maintain the rate next year, experts say. Nguyen Xuan Thanh, director of development, and public policy lecturer at the Fulbright University of Vietnam, said the country’s economy is expected to grow at over 7 percent this year, the highest level since 2007.

    “The major contributor of growth comes from industries that benefit from policies to replace import goods, such as automobile and pharmaceutical production,” he said at a conference organized Thursday by the National Financial Supervisory Commission (NFSC).

    In 2017, Vietnam rode on 20-30 percent growth of phones and electronics, but this year, that sector’s growth slowed down to only 11 percent in the first 11 months of 2018, Thanh explained.

    He also noted that a positive aspect of the growth this year has been that it is no longer dependent on credit. The NFSC estimates credit growth to have slowed significantly to 15 percent this year from 18 percent in 2017.

    “Many experts were concerned that Vietnam’s high growth rate in previous years was linked to credit growth, but there has been strong economic growth this year without high credit growth,” Thanh said.

    Meanwhile, NFSC leaders said Vietnam’s growth may exceed 7 percent in 2018 and remain at between 6.9-7.1 percent in 2019.

    Truong Van Phuoc, acting chairman of the NFSC, said the high growth in 2018 is due to large contributions from the private sector. In addition, trade agreements such as the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) and the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA), which are expected to come into effect in 2019, may also bring positive impacts.

    Vietnam also has the opportunity to attract investment as well as new opportunities from the field of information technology and biotechnology, he added.

    But experts also point out some factors that could affect economic growth next year. Thanh noted that growth this year was not only due to investment and export but also the heavy consumption.

    Any changes to consumption can have immediate effect on economic growth, he said.

    In the first nine months this year, Vietnam’s GDP grew by 6.98 percent, the highest nine-month growth rate since 2011. The economy grew by 6.81 percent last year, the highest rate in a decade.

  • Aeon Credit posts better earnings in third quarter

    Aeon Credit posts better earnings in third quarter

    Aeon Credit Service (M) Bhd’s net profit for the third quarter ended Nov 30, increased 23.5% to RM87.14 million from RM70.55 million a year ago, attributed to lower impairment loss on financing receivables. Revenue for the period increased 11.6% to RM348.5 million from RM312.35 million.

    For the nine-month period, the group reported a 22.62% rise in net profit to RM267.01 million from RM217.75 million. Revenue was up by 8.7% to RM1.01 billion from RM925.95 million.

    Aeon Credit told Bursa Malaysia that its gross financing receivables as at Nov 30 was RM8.31 billion, representing an increase of 15.41% from RM7.2 billion a year ago. Meanwhile, net financing receivables after impairment was RM7.74 billion compared with RM7.03 billion a year ago.

    Its non-performing loan ratio stood at 2.05% as at Nov 30, 2018 versus 2.48% as at Nov 30, 2017.

    Total transaction and financing volume in the current quarter and nine months ended Nov 30 increased by 49.5% to RM1.5 billion and by 26.4% to RM3.9 billion respectively.

  • India rice rates hit more than three-month high, Chinese rules weigh on Vietnam

    India rice rates hit more than three-month high, Chinese rules weigh on Vietnam

    Rice export prices in India rose to their highest in more than three months as a key producing region hiked procurement rates for domestic paddy. Top exporter India’s 5 percent broken parboiled variety was quoted at $375-$382 per tonne this week, the highest since Sept. 7.

    The central state of Chhattisgarh, a leading rice producer, raised the minimum paddy buying price to 2,500 rupees per 100 kg, from 1,750 rupees earlier this week.

    “Importers are not ready to pay a higher price. Exports are likely to slow down in coming months,” said an exporter based at Kakinada, in the southern state of Andhra Pradesh.

    Prices of Vietnam’s 5 percent broken rice declined for the fifth straight week to $385 a tonne as activity remained muted, traders said.

    “Prices fell further because we are concerned that China’s move to impose stricter conditions on Vietnamese rice will have a long-term impact,” a trader based in Ho Chi Minh City said.

    “It’s not clear if China is buying more from Cambodia and Myanmar to compensate for the possible declining shipments from Vietnam.”

    Another trader said supplies from Vietnam will increase from late next month when the winter-spring harvest begins.

    In Thailand, benchmark 5 percent broken rice prices were quoted at $390-$391 per tonne, free on board Bangkok, versus $385-$393 a week ago, as the market is expected to remain quiet until well after the New Year period.

    “This is a reasonable level as we’re nearing the end of the year. There is not much overseas activity and we’re also in the harvesting season,” a Bangkok-based trader said.

    Meanwhile, Bangladesh, which emerged as a major importer of rice in 2017 due to stock depletion following floods, has stepped up efforts to procure more rice locally after output of the staple grain improved, a food ministry official said.

    “The response from farmers is very good and the procurement drive will be continued,” the official said.

    The country’s production for 2018/19 is expected to recover to 34.7 million tonnes, up 6.3 percent year-on-year, according to estimates from the U.S. Department of Agriculture attaché in Bangladesh.

    The South Asian country has procured more than 1.3 million tonnes of rice locally so far in the current season to build state reserves.

  • HSBC sells 49% of HSBC Amanah Takaful

    HSBC sells 49% of HSBC Amanah Takaful

    HSBC Holdings plc’s indirect wholly owned subsidiary HSBC Insurance (Asia Pacific) Holdings Ltd is selling a 49% stake in HSBC Amanah Takaful (Malaysia) Bhd to FWD Life Insurance Company (Bermuda) Ltd. The transaction has obtained approval from the Minister of Finance, via Bank Negara Malaysia, and is expected to be completed during the first half of 2019.

    “We have decided to exit the takaful manufacturing business and focus on our banking operations in Malaysia. This transaction relates only to a change in ownership for the takaful joint venture. For the HSBC Group, the transaction does not have any impact on our current businesses in Malaysia, comprising HSBC Bank Malaysia Bhd and HSBC Amanah Malaysia Bhd. Malaysia remains a key insurance distribution market for us and we will continue to support the insurance needs of our customers through our insurance partners,” said HSBC Bank Malaysia Bhd CEO Stuart Milne.

  • Wirecard expands cooperation with Singtel’s Dash to enable mobile payments with Apple Pay

    Wirecard expands cooperation with Singtel’s Dash to enable mobile payments with Apple Pay

    Wirecard, the global innovation leader in digital financial technology, has deepened its partnership with Singtel’s Dash to support the Dash mobile wallet’s Visa Virtual Account on Apple Pay. From now on, Dash’s customers can make payments using Apple Pay at millions of participating on- and offline merchants worldwide.

    Brigitte Haeuser-Axtner, Executive Vice President, Sales Asia, Digital & Telecommunications at Wirecard said, “As leaders in digital financial technology, we are proud to work with Singtel to bring Dash to an even larger group of potential customers, and to connect consumers with merchants around the globe. Asia continues to be the leader of the digital payments revolution worldwide, and we are excited to be at the forefront of these innovations.”

    “With the increasing popularity of mobile and online payments, Dash enables easy, secure and seamless payment options between our partner merchants and our more than half a million Dash customers on the platform of their choice,” said Gilbert Chuah, Head of mCommerce at Singtel. “Our expanded partnership with Wirecard to bring Dash to Apple Pay reflects our commitment to enhance the digital payment experience for both merchants and customers.”

    Singtel Dash is Singapore’s only all-in-one digital wallet which provides a safe and secure mobile payments solution for shopping, commuting, and remitting money. Dash’s Visa Virtual Account is the first of its kind in Singapore and was introduced in 2017.

    The inclusion of Dash into Apple Pay complements the increasing popularity of online shopping in Singapore. Wirecard’s 2018 International Holiday Shopping Report found that 67% of Singaporeans surveyed prefer shopping online, either via desktop or mobile, while 20% prefer shopping in-store. The ability to use mobile payments in-store is also a welcome innovation with 51% of respondents saying it would improve their shopping experience.

     

  • Visa and The Mall Group collaborate to drive the future of retail in Thailand

    Visa and The Mall Group collaborate to drive the future of retail in Thailand

    Visa, the world’s leader in digital payments, and The Mall Group, Thailand’s leading retail and entertainment complex developer, last week announced a new long-term partnership set to drive the future of retail in Thailand.

    Building on their existing relationship, this partnership will see The Mall Group and Visa develop personalised shopping experiences for consumers, using Visa’s capabilities and exploring new technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial Intelligence (AI), Augmented Reality (AR), Virtual Reality (VR), biometrics, as well as data analytics to understand changing consumer behaviours.

    Chris Clark, Visa’s Regional President for Asia Pacific, said: “We believe payment technology can be a key differentiator for The Mall Group helping it to deliver a faster, more convenient and more personalised shopping experience for consumers. We’re looking forward to working together to drive payments innovation at The Mall Group’s expansive locations across Thailand.”

    Supaluck Umpujh, Chairwoman of The Mall Group, said: “The partnership with Visa represents a significant step into a new era of retail where customer experience is at the heart of everything we do. Our goal is to explore and leverage the latest innovations that will add value to our business. This will consequently benefit our shoppers and help strengthen our position as a world-class shopping destination among both local and international visitors.”

    Studies have shown that by 2020 AI will be responsible for managing 85 percent of retail customer interactions and as many as 100 million consumers will use AR to create a more novel shopping experience.

    For decades, Visa, together with its merchant partners, has consistently invested in growing electronic payments in Thailand. This has included educating consumers and merchants on the benefits of electronic payments, expanding the acceptance of electronic payments, and introducing new technologies to enhance the payment experience and make it more secure, such as EMV, contactless payment technology, tokenisation, and Visa QR payments.

  • Supporting industry should be a major priority: PM Vietnam

    Supporting industry should be a major priority: PM Vietnam

    Vietnam needs to make its supporting industry a production base for the global manufacturing chain, PM Nguyen Xuan Phuc says. “Vietnam should become a production base for multinational companies. This is what the Ministry of Industry and Trade and other government bodies should think about in their development strategy,” Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc said Wednesday.

    He was speaking at the conference on “Solutions for Promoting the Development of Supporting Industry in Vietnam,” held in Hanoi.

    He said that Vietnam should strive to compete in regional and global markets, manufacturing parts for cars, motorbikes and even airplanes.

    The government has always been prioritizing land access for the supporting industry, and has never said no to any such request, Phuc said.

    Supporting businesses should speed up and start operations earlier, Phuc said, adding that there were firms in the industry that could finish clearance and lay their foundations in just three months, while some have left things hanging for as long as three years.

    The supporting industry in Vietnam remains weak, having to import nearly 90 percent of raw materials, spare parts and components needed for production, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

    This means a low localization rate, even in industries with great supporting industry potential, like automobiles and textiles and garments, it said.

    Minister of Industry and Trade Tran Tuan Anh said at the conference that only 300 supporting firms were currently part of the supply chain for multinational companies. As of last year, Vietnam had 75,000 manufacturing firms.

    The number of new businesses in this sector has barely increased in recent years, even though this is a key foundation for industrialization, Anh said.

    Therefore, those making finished products in the country are having to import accessories and parts from other countries or produce them on their own, he added.

    He cited Japan as a good example of a strong supporting industry. Even though the majority of Japanese supporting businesses are medium, small and micro sized, they are integrated deeply in the global manufacturing chain with high added value. They provide accessories and parts to the aviation industry, he noted.

    The trade minister added that Vietnam’s policy for attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) does not create favorable opportunities for local supporting businesses to develop and join the global manufacturing chain.

    There are over 3,000 supporting industry businesses in Vietnam, accounting for 4.5 percent of the manufacturing and processing sector, creating jobs for over 550,000 employees, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

    From January to November this year, Vietnam imported $30.66 billion worth of machines, accessories and parts, and exported $15.13 billion worth of products, according to Vietnam Customs, marking a trade deficit of $15.53 billion.

  • Securing Raw Materials Key to Competitiveness of Indonesia’s Textile Industry

    Securing Raw Materials Key to Competitiveness of Indonesia’s Textile Industry

    Indonesia is set to become one of the top five textile and textile product producers in the world by 2030, and the Ministry of Trade is forging ahead with its Making Indonesia 4.0 roadmap, which prioritizes the development of a number of industries, including the textile sector.

    Muhdori, the trade ministry’s director tasked with the textile, leather, footwear and various other industries, said the implementation of the roadmap would strengthen the textile sector’s global competitiveness, as it improves efficiencies and product quality.

    “Being highly integrated from upstream to downstream, this sector is competitive and is supported by a large amount of human resources for its production activities,” he said.

    The challenge for the textile industry was to become more efficient, while continuing to improve human resource competencies, in accordance with technological development, he said.

    “Being both an export-oriented and labor-intensive sector, the textile industry has thus far contributed significantly to Indonesia’s economic growth,” Muhdori said.

    According to the Ministry of Industry, textile and textile product exports have continued to increase in recent years. The textile and textile product sector’s contribution to Indonesia’s gross domestic product amounted to a record $10.46 billion last year, while exports were valued at $12.58 billion, up 6 percent from 2016.

    Increased Exports

    The Ministry of Industry pegged textile exports at $13.5 billion this year, along with the creation of 2.95 million new jobs in the industry, while exports are projected to increase further to $15 billion next year, with the creation of up to 3.11 million jobs. This will increase the sector’s share of Indonesia’s total exports to 1.6 percent.

    The ministry is optimistic that this year’s growth target of between 4 percent and 6 percent can be achieved. The textile industry grew 3.45 percent last year, having nearly doubled from 2016.

    However, this growth target also calls for an increased supply of raw materials, which currently consist of 51 percent synthetic fiber, such as polyester and nylon, 37 percent cotton fiber, and 12 percent rayon.

    But the industry still faces obstacles in reaching its full competitive potential, as nearly all cotton must be imported. In contrast, 80 percent of synthetic fiber and 85 percent of rayon are domestically produced, with these numbers expected to increase further.

    Rayon is a cellulose material extracted from soluble wood pulp. It offers better absorption and breathability than cotton. Rayon fiber has various uses, including in clothing, bedding, towels, baby wipes, masks and personal hygiene products.

    According to Redma Gita Wirawasta, secretary general of the Indonesian Synthetic Fiber Producers Association (APSyFI), rayon is most in demand in the fashion industry due to several advantages, such as comfort and disposability, which make it environmentally friendly.

    “Indonesia has the potential to become one of the largest rayon industry players in the world, supported by extensive land availability and a suitable climate. This makes Indonesia comparatively superior to other rayon-producing countries,” he said.

    Raw Materials

    Redma Gita said the growth of the rayon fiber industry requires sustainable raw material supply through industrial plantations.

    “Rayon plants supported by industrial plants not only strengthen the structure of the textile industry, but also reduce its dependence on imported raw materials, which has been an issue for national textile competitiveness,” he said.

    “This upstream industry could even generate foreign exchange as some of its production is exported,” he added.

    The Ministry of Industry noted that the production capacity of the rayon fiber industry has risen substantially over the past three years. Production is expected to increase to about 700,000 metric tons this year, compared with 565,000 tons last year and 470,000 tons in 2016.

    Production capacity growth is expected to continue until 2021, when it is expected to reach 1.2 million tons.

    However, the industry faces challenges from environmental activists. Redma Gita refuted allegations from Canopy, an international nonprofit focused on forest conservation, which stated that raw materials for rayon fiber comes from ancient and endangered forests in Sumatra and Kalimantan.

    “Those accusations are baseless. They have provided no proof of this whatsoever,” he said. He also highlighted the importance of the government in supporting the development of the national textile industry.

    Machmud Thohari, a forestry expert, meanwhile also questioned the Canopy report’s use of terms such as ‘ancient’ and ‘endangered’ to categorize forests.

    “As far as I know, the terms ‘ancient’ and ‘endangered’ aren’t commonly used in the scientific classification of forests,” he said.

    Thohari said the term ‘ancient forest’ may have been used to refer to an old-age forest or one that is many, many years (i.e.: centuries) old.

    On a similar note, Riau Governor Wan Thamrin Hasyim also condemned the Canopy allegations, as he sought to highlight the strategic industrial potential of the province.

    “The accusation must be clarified, as it can deter investors and [negatively impact] Riau’s economic growth,” he said.

  • Indonesia’s November Trade Deficit Widest Since July 2013

    Indonesia’s November Trade Deficit Widest Since July 2013

    Indonesia posted its widest monthly trade deficit in over five years in November as exports, especially that of palm oil and pulp, slumped, data from the statistics bureau showed on Monday. The deficit in November was $2.05 billion, compared with October’s revised deficit of $1.77 billion and the biggest trade gap since July 2013, according to Refinitiv data. A Reuters poll had expected a deficit of $830 million.

    The rupiah weakened slightly after the trade data to 14,620 a dollar at 12.45 p.m. from 14,600 before the announcement.

    Exports surprisingly fell 3.28 percent in November from a year earlier to $14.83 billion, the worst monthly performance since June 2017. The poll’s median was for a 3.95 percent increase for exports.

    A decline in overseas sales of a range of products, such as palm oil, jewelry, pulp and paper, and crude oil, was the main reason for the drop, Central Statistics Agency (BPS) head Suhariyanto said at a news conference.

    Export revenues from vegetable oils, including palm and coconut oil, fell nearly 19 percent in November from a year earlier due to weak prices, he said.

    November imports stood at $16.88 billion, up 11.68 percent from a year earlier, topping the poll’s 10.50 percent estimate, but down from the nearly 24 percent growth in October.

    Southeast Asia’s largest economy has been struggling to contain imports in recent months. Some measures, including higher tariffs, have been imposed to curb imports.

    Authorities have also sped up negotiations for free trade deals to gain better access for exports, in a bid to reduce the trade gap and support the rupiah.

    Bank Indonesia has also hiked interest rates six times since May to try to attract portfolio investment needed to fund the widening current-account deficit.

    Fakhrul Fulvian, an economist at Trimegah Sekuritas, said the worse-than-expected trade deficit would “lower the expectation of improving current-account balance” in the fourth quarter. But he argued that the central bank would not have to raise rates again because it already did in November.

    Maybank Indonesia economist Myrdal Gunarto agreed.

    “The movement of the exchange rate in domestic market remains manageable and the trade deficit was supported by returning foreign inflows,” Gunarto said. “With that, we project Bank Indonesia will still maintain its policy interest rate at the current level.”