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  • Malaysia to double palm oil used in transport biodiesel to 20%: Minister

    Malaysia to double palm oil used in transport biodiesel to 20%: Minister

    Malaysia aims to double the palm oil content in biodiesel used for the transport sector to 20% next year, as Southeast Asia’s third-largest economy looks to cut record stockpiles and boost prices, a government minister said. The government will also raise the palm oil content in biofuel for the industrial sector to 10% next year from a 7% quota being rolled out this July, Primary Industries Minister Teresa Kok said, speaking at a conference.

    Malaysia’s palm oil inventories fell to 3.001 million tonnes in January on increasing demand and falling production, but that was still near the two-decade high of 3.22 million tonnes recorded a month earlier.

    The increases in the amount of palm oil mandated for biodiesel – known as B20 for transport and B10 for industrial use – should lift use of the vegetable oil in biofuels to 1.3 million tonnes annually, the minister said.

    Kok said her ministry has submitted a proposal to the cabinet to set up a biofuel stabilisation fund to manage the price of biofuels, a similar mechanism to the export levy fund imposed by fellow palm oil producer Indonesia.

    “What if the palm oil price is high and the diesel price has gone up a lot? That would be costly for the public to use biodiesel, so we need to stabilise the price so biofuel will be more attractive to consumers,“ Kok said.

    “I have suggested (a stabilisation fund) in cabinet meeting before but we still need to have deeper discussion with other ministries.”

    Top palm producer and exporter Indonesia began collecting levies from palm exporters in 2015 to help finance the development of its palm-based biodiesel programme, as well as funding other palm oil agenda, such as replanting.

    However, Indonesia’s government temporarily removed the levy in November after a sharp drop in prices hit farmers.

  • Korea automobile production falls for 3rd year in 2018

    Korea automobile production falls for 3rd year in 2018

    Korea’s auto production tumbled for a third consecutive year in 2018 amid weaker domestic and global demand, data showed Sunday. According to the data by the Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association (KAMA), Korea produced 4.03 million vehicles last year, down 2.1 percent from the previous year. The figure has been decreasing over the past three years from 4.56 million in 2015 to 4.23 million in 2016 and 4.12 in 2017.

    The 2018 figure put Korea as the seventh-largest car manufacturing country in the world, down one notch from the previous year, according to the association.

    Korea became the world’s fifth-largest maker of cars in 2005 and retained the ranking until 2015. But India edged out Korea to stand at the world’s sixth in 2016 and 2017. Last year, Korea fell behind Mexico.

    China was found to produce the largest number of vehicles in 2018, with 27.81 million followed by the United States, Japan, Germany and India.

    Korea’s total car exports also fell to 2.45 million vehicles last year from the previous year’s 2.53 million, the KAMA said, adding that the country accounted for 4.1 percent of the world’s car production in 2018, down 0.1 percentage point from a year earlier.

    “Contentious labor-management relations, as well as stiff labor market conditions, among others, appear to negatively affect local carmakers’ competitiveness,” the association said in a release, calling for state support and business innovation.

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  • Sales of imported vehicles in Korea fell 10 percent in January

    Sales of imported vehicles in Korea fell 10 percent in January

    Sales of imported vehicles in Korea declined by more than 10 percent in January from a year earlier due to typically low seasonal demand and supply shortage of some brands, industry data showed on Friday. The number of foreign cars sold last month reached 18,198 units, down 13.7 percent from a year earlier, according to the data compiled by the Korea Automobile Importers & Distributors Association (Kaida).

    The tally also marks an 11 percent drop from a month earlier, the data showed. In 2018, sales of foreign cars continued to rise, helped by firm demand for foreign brands and the resumption of sales of Audi Volkswagen.

    The number of newly registered foreign vehicles reached 260,705, up 11.8 percent from 2017.

    Foreign passenger cars made up 16.7 percent of all vehicles that were registered in the country last year, shattering the previous record high of 15.5 percent in 2015.

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  • Korea’s industrial output growth slowest in near 20 years

    Korea’s industrial output growth slowest in near 20 years

    Industrial output is growing at the slowest rate in nearly 20 years, while facility investment dropped the most in a decade.  Other signs that the economy is in trouble include seven straight month of declines in the coincident and leading indexes. According to Statistics Korea and the Ministry of Strategy and Finance Thursday, last year industrial output grew 1 percent compared to 2017. This is the slowest annual growth rate since 2000.

    Manufacturing industry output was only able to rise 0.3 percent, while the construction industry, which is an important contributor to the domestic economy, fell 5.1 percent, with a particularly weak second half.

    Facility investment was down 4.2 percent, the sharpest drop since 2009, when the number declined 9.6 percent. The government said the decline in facility investment was largely due to weakening in the semiconductor sector.

    Consumption statistics were relatively strong, on the rising sales of both durable and nondurable goods. When compared to the previous year, consumption rose 4.2 percent, the sharpest increase in seven years. In 2011 consumption went up 4.6 percent.

    Strength was noted at duty-free shops and online.

    While traditional retail store sales were down, including those of discount marts like Emart and Lotte Mart, falling 2.8 percent, as well as those at smaller supermarkets and miscellaneous stores, falling 0.7 percent, sales of online stores were up 14.2 percent and duty-free sales surged 31.5 percent. Chinese tourists returned to the country in great numbers as a result of easing tensions over the introduction of a U.S. missile defense system.

    Convenience store sales were up 8.5 percent, a trend that has been seen in recent years as the number of people living alone has been rising.

    December figures weren’t comforting.

    When compared to the previous year, overall output grew 0.3 percent, which is half of the 0.6 percent reported in November. When compared to the previous month, December output fell for the second consecutive month at 0.6 percent.

    Manufacturing and mining output improved compared to the previous month. It also rose 1.6 percent compared to the same month the previous year, compared to November’s 1.1 percent.

    December output fell 1.4 percent month-on-month, the second consecutive month of decline.

    While the fall in output of automobiles was one of the major factors, down 5.9 percent compared to November, semiconductor output was also another contributing factor, as it fell 4.5 percent.

    The ministry said automobile production continued to fall as exports have shrunk. Overseas and domestic demands have been weak.

    Semiconductors, which have long been a positive force, started to become a drag, with production at some companies falling on weak demand.

    Investment in December alone fell sharply, declining 14.5 percent year-on-year, the sharpest fall since September 2018, when it tumbled 19.2 percent. Even when compared to the previous month, it dipped 0.4 percent.

    The coincident index, which shows the current economic situation when compared to the previous month, fell 0.2 points, down for nine consecutive months.

    It is the longest losing streak since falling for 11 months starting September 1997, when Korea was hit by the first financial crisis.

    The leading economic index fell 0.2 points compared to November, declining for seven consecutive months.

    In a statement, the ministry said it will swiftly move on “big projects” so investment sentiment will improve.

    “The government, if possible, is trying spend a quarter of the budget as early as possible,” Finance Minister Hong Nam-ki said Thursday.

    He denied he is looking into the possibility of a supplementary budget to boost the economy.

    “We’re only in January,” Hong said. “A supplementary budget is not under consideration.”

    The minister said the government will be announcing export measures, mostly focusing on financial aid to SMEs.

    “While finding new markets [for exports] is important, currently the most difficult issue is [SME] exporters struggling to get financial aid,” Hong said.

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  • RM25b export target for wood-based products achievable: Malaysian Council

    RM25b export target for wood-based products achievable: Malaysian Council

    The Malaysian Timber Council (MTC) remains optimistic that Malaysia will achieve its RM25 billion export target for wood-based products by 2020 despite a fragile global trade and economy caused by the US-China trade war. “We believe that the RM25 billion target is still achievable notwithstanding the potential headwinds that may come along the way, for instance Brexit, US-China trade war and other regional conflicts,” MTC CEO Richard said.

    “The good part about the timber and wood industry is that a lot of Malaysian businesses are very innovative, and they respond to changes quite quickly, in terms of adjusting to the changing needs and demands and also the challenges of the industry as well as economy,” he added.

    To recap, the Ministry of Plantation Industries and Commodities (MPIC) had in 2017 reduced the wood-based exports target from RM53 billion to RM25 billion due to shortage of raw materials.

    Yu said the RM25 billion target is more “realistic”, noting that the previous RM53 billion target was first formulated prior to the 2008 global financial crisis.

    “The planning and the formulation of the strategy was before that (the financial crisis). At that point of time, even in terms of the exchange rate was pretty favourable to us from ringgit terms perspective.

    “And looking at last year’s numbers, I think to get another incremental of about RM1 billion-RM2 billion for another three years should be quite realistic,” he added.

    The timber industry’s contributed RM23.2 billion to the government coffers in 2017, up 4.8% compared to last year’s figures.

    As at August 2018, the export figures had reached RM14.57 billion, in which the wooden furniture, plywood, sawn timber, fibreboard and builders’ joinery and carpentry are the main revenue generators for the sector.

    However, Yu noted that there is concern raised by the industry players on the potential Chinese products dumping.

    “That will obviously have an effect on our exports. But I believe the Ministry of International Trade and Industry is monitoring this issue closely,” he said.

    At present, Malaysia exports timber and timber-based products in over 160 countries.

    Moving forward, Yu said the country’s commitment in maintaining its forest cover at above 50% will ensure that the timber industry remains sustainable in the long-term.

    The MTC was established in January 1992 to facilitate the local industry players and promote the development and growth of the timber industry.

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  • Foreign buying on Bursa slows to RM146.8m last week

    Foreign buying on Bursa slows to RM146.8m last week

    Foreign funds snapped up RM146.8 million net of local equities last week during the holiday-shortened week. “Foreign funds resumed their entry into stocks listed on Bursa for the fourth consecutive week albeit at a slower pace compared to the preceding week,“ MIDF Research said in its weekly fund flow report.

    It said last Monday saw a moderate net inflow of foreign funds worth RM37.3 million, extending the daily buying streak to nine days. However, this foreign buying spree came to an end on the next day as international funds sold RM12.8 million net, coinciding with the local bourse’s 0.4% slide to settle at 1,690 points.

    Risk appetite was weak on Tuesday following the overnight 2.8% slump in Brent crude oil price combined with the anticipation ahead of the Sino-US trade negotiations.

    Notwithstanding this, offshore investors returned to Bursa on Wednesday at a tune of RM65.1 million net, the highest foreign net inflow during the week.

    The catalyst responsible for the boost of foreign net inflows on that day was 0.4% increase in Brent crude oil price as US President Donald Trump’s administration slaps sanctions on Venezuela’s state-owned oil company while Saudi Arabia had a deeper output cuts in January than initially pledged.

    The momentum of foreign net inflows continued on the last trading day of the week as foreign investors bought RM57.2 million net.

    “We opine that the sentiment was partially supported by the Malaysia’s exports in 2018 which grew by 6.7% to reach almost RM1 trillion. Meanwhile, the FBM KLCI was little changed, declining by less than 1% on Thursday ahead of the long weekend and festive season.”

    The month of January 2019 saw a foreign net inflow of RM1.03 billion or US$249.3 million, the first monthly net inflow since September last year.

    “In comparison with the three other Asean markets we monitor, Malaysia has the second lowest foreign net inflow while Indonesia leads,“ said MIDF.

    Foreign investors were the only group which saw a weekly increase in average daily traded value, jumping by 21.0% to remain above RM1 billion for the second week running.

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  • The world’s largest free trade blocs between Japan and EU

    The world’s largest free trade blocs between Japan and EU

    The economic partnership agreement between Japan and the European Union not only forms one of the world’s largest free trade blocs, but also sets digital and copyright rules that will serve as an international template. The EPA will ultimately eliminate EU tariffs on about 99% of imported products from Japan, and Japanese tariffs on roughly 94% of products imported from the EU. It also incorporates wide-ranging regulations on data transfer and intellectual property protection. The aim is to drive the debate on other multinational trade pacts, especially against the backdrop of rising protectionism.

    A centerpiece provision is a ban on governments forcing companies to reveal source code. Chinese cybersecurity legislation that took effect in 2017 empowers the government to request source code from foreign enterprises doing business within its borders. The law also requires “operators of key information infrastructure” to locally store personal information and important data collected and produced by their services in China.

    The Japan-EU trade deal is essentially a rejection of such digital protectionism, instead encouraging the free and secure cross-border flow of data. Companies in participating countries can operate in other members without risking mandatory disclosure of trade secrets.

    The trade deal “will become a precedent for the data field, which is becoming increasingly important, and will lay the groundwork for the creation of subsequent rules,” said Keisuke Hanyuda, partner at Deloitte Tohmatsu Consulting.

    Japan, the EU and other like-minded trading partners seek to craft similar rules for the World Trade Organization, which includes the U.S. and China. But speedy rule-making may be all but impossible at a WTO that has been criticized as dysfunctional. The alternative strategy is to first implement high-quality rules for the Japan-EU trade deal, as well as the 11-member Trans-Pacific Partnership, and bring other countries into the fold.

    Japan and the EU agreed not to levy tariffs on the transfer of data between the two sides. Copyrights on literary works will expire 70 years after the death of the author. Alcoholic-beverage and food brands tied to a region of origin will be mutually protected as well. Authorized producers of Kobe beef and Champagne would be shielded from imitations, for example.

    The EPA covers 27.8% of global gross domestic product by 2017’s number, and 36.9% of worldwide trade. The TPP-11 — formally the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership — accounts for 13.3% of global GDP. Japan sees the EPA and the TPP-11 together adding 13 trillion yen ($119 billion) to its real GDP and creating 750,000 jobs.

    “On top of the short-view effect of stimulating consumption, the inflow of services and investment from the EU will increase competitive pressures inside Japan, and we can expect the effect of prices going down,” said Junichi Sugawara, senior research officer at the Mizuho Research Institute.

    Tariff elimination is expected to have a significant economic impact. EU exports to Japan could jump as much as 34%, while European companies will save an annual 1 billion euros ($1.15 billion) on duties, the EU estimates. Hopes are particularly high for expanded food and agricultural exports to Japan.

    The EPA lowers tariffs on Camembert and other soft cheeses — something Japan did not do for the TPP-11 — up to a certain quota. Japan will eliminate soft-cheese duties for in-quota imports altogether in year 16. Other items, such as European wine, will immediately become duty-free, resulting in a wider selection and lower prices for Japanese consumers.

    Many see the EPA and its benefits as a counterweight to the Trump administration’s anti-globalism. “This is an act of enormous strategic importance for the rules-based international order, at a time when some are questioning this order,” European Council President Donald Tusk said last July, when the agreement was signed. “We are sending a clear message that we stand together against protectionism.”

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  • Asia stocks quiet, dollar firm after upbeat US job data

    Asia stocks quiet, dollar firm after upbeat US job data

    Asia stocks hovered near four-month highs on Monday after a mixed performance on Wall Street at the close of last week, while the dollar firmed against the yen following strong US job and manufacturing data. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was almost flat. It had scaled a four-month peak on Friday along with a surge in its global peers.

    Trade was subdued with many of the region’s markets closed for the Lunar New Year. China’s financial markets are closed all week, while those in South Korea are shut until Thursday.

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, which is trading for only half a day, edged up 0.2%.

    Japan’s Nikkei added 0.5%.

    On Wall Street on Friday optimism from a surge in January US job growth was offset by a weaker-than-expected outlook from Amazon.com Inc that battered retail stocks. The Dow nudged up 0.26% while the Nasdaq shed 0.25%.

    “Key points for the markets this week will be how the remaining US corporate earnings releases turn out, and whether they are in line with recent upbeat data,” said Junichi Ishikawa, senior FX strategist at IG Securities in Tokyo.

    “While corporate earnings and fundamentals remain key, political developments, notably the US-China trade situation, remain potential risk factors,” he said.

    A US Labor Department report on Friday showed nonfarm payrolls jumped by a stronger-than-forecast 304,000 jobs last month, the largest gain since February 2018.

    That report, along with better-than-expected ISM manufacturing activity numbers for January, pointed to underlying strength in the world’s biggest economy.

    “After last week’s risk appetite revival, the data pulse and the tone of Fed speakers will be important. For the Goldilocks market to continue, we need to find a delicate balance between improving data and still-neutral central banks,” strategists at ANZ wrote.

    Global equity markets performed strongly last week after the Federal Reserve pledged to be patient with further interest rate hikes, signalling a potential end to its tightening cycle.

    Friday’s robust economic data triggered a sharp rebound in US Treasury yields, in turn lifting the dollar.

    On Monday, the US currency was a shade higher at 109.555 yen after advancing 0.6% on Friday.

    The euro was little changed at $1.1456 after getting pulled back from a high of $1.1488 on Friday.

    The Australian dollar was mostly steady at $0.7244 after slipping 0.4% the previous session.

    The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was at 2.686% after climbing nearly 6 basis points on Friday to pull away from a four-week low of 2.619% earlier last week.

    West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US crude oil futures extended Friday’s rally and were last up 0.3% at $55.42 per barrel.

    On Friday, WTI futures had rallied 2.7% on the upbeat US job report, signs that Washington’s sanctions on Venezuelan exports have helped tighten supply and data showing US drillers cut the number of oil rigs.

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  • Vietnam’s exports slow down

    Vietnam’s exports slow down

    Vietnam’s exports fell by 1.3 percent year-on-year in January to $20 billion as phone shipments fell sharply. Exports of phones were 27.5 percent down at $2.9 billion, according to the General Statistics Office. Computer and electronics exports fell 5 percent to $2.3 billion.

    But exports of textiles and garments rose by 6.7 percent to $2.7 billion, footwear by 12.8 percent to $1.6 billion and machinery and equipment by 15.2 percent to $1.4 billion.

    The U.S. was the biggest importer ($4 billion) followed by China ($3.8 billion) and the EU ($3.2 billion). The country’s Southeast Asian neighbors only accounted for $2 billion.

    Meanwhile, Vietnam’s imports rose by 3.1 percent to $20.8 billion.

    Last year exports were worth $244.72 billion, up 13.8 percent, and imports cost $237.51 billion, giving Vietnam its highest trade surplus ever of $7.21 billion.

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  • Palm falls as data shows slower exports

    Palm falls as data shows slower exports

    Malaysian palm oil futures fell last week, after data from a cargo surveyor showed exports grew more slowly than expected in January. The benchmark palm oil contract for April delivery on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange dropped 0.2% to RM2,299 a tonne. Trading volumes stood at 24,751 lots of 25 tonnes each.

    “The export numbers released are below yesterday’s (Wednesday’s) market rumour. The ringgit’s strength also pushed the market lower,” a Kuala Lumpur-based trader said, adding that the coming long holiday weekend should prompt traders to cover short positions. “That should limit any big sell-offs,” the trader said.

    Cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services said yesterday exports of Malaysian palm oil products for January rose 14.7%, while independent inspection company AmSpec Agri Malaysia reported a 15.5% increase.

    Palm oil may slide into a range of RM2,256-RM2,274 per tonne, as its correction from the Jan 28 high of RM2,333 looks incomplete, Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals said.

  • Companies, workers struggle as cracks appear in China’s economy

    Companies, workers struggle as cracks appear in China’s economy

    Cracks are opening in China’s mighty economy: investors are backing away from deals, factories are moving abroad and companies are shedding jobs. The world’s second-largest economy is losing steam, hitting its slowest growth in almost three decades last year, and flagging further in recent months. While gross domestic product grew at 6.6% in 2018 – a rate that would be the envy of most nations – China’s efforts to cut its debt mountain have weighed on the economy.

    Private businesses in particular face new hurdles as costs rise and financing becomes harder to come by, while the trade war with the United States has not helped.

    Here is a look at some of the struggles faced by Chinese companies and people:

    Game over for gamers

    Feeding China’s addiction to video games seemed an easy bet for Beijing Yixin Technology, a tech startup behind the mobile game Farm Take Home.

    The game allows players to harvest wheat, raise chickens and plant apple trees – a bucolic refuge from the pressures of urban China.

    But in real life, the tech firm has struggled to find investors.

    “In December our company’s funding ran out, we had an investment lined up, but the money never came through,” said chairman Cui Yi. “This month I arranged another investor, then he backed out too. I think we can’t hold out.”

    His company is not alone.

    Venture capital funding dried up at the end of last year. Total investment in the fourth quarter fell 13% from a year earlier, according to data from Preqin market research.

    Policymakers are partly to blame, pushing a war on debt and financial risk that has cut the funding flowing into investment firms, industry insiders say.

    Another government diktat halted new video game approvals for months – officially due to youth gaming addiction concerns – sending firms like Beijing Yixin into a deep freeze.

    Trade war

    Other companies are facing the fallout from the trade war with the United States.

    More than a handful of exporters have sought to get around US tariffs by building factories outside China, according to a review of public stock filings.

    Others are sending workers home early for Chinese New Year or cutting overtime.

    Last month China’s exports fell.

    “It has hit our profits,” Harry Shih, manager of Runfine Bearings in eastern Zhejiang province, said of the trade war.

    Washington slapped 25% taxes on many types of ball bearings in July. Shih said he had shared the cost increase with his customers, roughly half of whom are from the US.

    “Business is going down for most companies including factories. Like me they have the same problems, profits are going down” as costs rise, said Shih.

    Job crunch

    Official data shows unemployment at a stable rate, rising slightly to 4.9% last month. But independent data paints a different picture.

    In October-December advertised tech positions fell by 20% from a year earlier, after declining 51% in the third quarter, according to data from Zhaopin, China’s largest recruitment website and Renmin University.

    China’s economy “faces downward pressure, and to some extent this pressure will be transmitted to the job market,” said Meng Wei, a spokeswoman for the National Development and Reform Commission, China’s state planner.

    A lawyer who consults on labour disputes, Guo Xuehai of Beijing Zhonghai Law Firm, said, “there are definitely more employees coming for help than before,” but added this was usually the case at this time of the year.

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  • OCBC: Malaysia could restore fiscal health in 3 years

    OCBC: Malaysia could restore fiscal health in 3 years

    Malaysia has a reasonable chance of restoring its fiscal health within three years if the economic growth remains stable with new revenue streams and stable expenditure, according to OCBC Bank chief economist Selena Ling. “But if you have a case where the global environment is very serious and dire and there is no deal between US and China… then it becomes a very hostile environment for any developing country to operate in,” she said last Friday.

    She noted that if the global economy remains at a status quo for the rest of the year and crude oil prices stabilise, Malaysia may miss the fiscal deficit target by 0.1-0.2 percentage points.

    Having said that, the potential slippage is not expected to be “very severe” that will derail Malaysia off its targets.

    “Rating agencies also want to see a multi-year plan. If it’s just a slippage of one year that you can attribute to a lot of external factors, probably the rating agencies will give you a pass. It’s really not a one year story they’re looking for,” she explained.

    The government has projected fiscal deficit to ease to 3.4% of gross domestic product (GDP) this year from 3.7% in 2018. It looks to further narrow the fiscal deficit to 3% and 2.8% in 2020 and 2021, respectively.

    Ling projects Malaysia to record a full-year GDP growth of 4.4% for 2019 amid slowing global growth and the ongoing external headwinds.

    Malaysia’s ringgit, on the other hand, could appreciate to RM4 against the greenback in the event of a weak dollar.

    She said the strengthening of the ringgit will have less to do with domestic factors as the slowdown in economic growth is seen as benign, coupled with an unlikely change in the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR).

    Another reason that could be supportive of strong ringgit is the risk of the US economy falling into a recession next year.

    Meanwhile, Ling expects oil prices to be subdued and could result in a shortfall in government coffers if they remain at the current level of around US$50 per barrel until year-end.

    Although Budget 2019 is based on the oil price assumption of US$70 per barrel, she does not see a need to recalibrate the budget at this juncture, but it will exert pressure on seeking new revenue sources.

    “As far as the budget revision is concerned, I suspect (it will) not be so soon because the US$70 is a medium-term price target and oil prices have been volatile in the last six months.

    “But if you look at the average price, it is relatively stable and maybe for the next budget in October 2019, they (the government) may revise the oil price assumption,” she added.

  • Vietnam trade deficit could balloon to $3 billion

    Vietnam trade deficit could balloon to $3 billion

    Vietnam could face a trade deficit of $3 billion this year, after achieving the highest trade surplus in a decade in 2018. Export turnover in 2019 is expected to reach about $265 billion, down 17.4 percent from 2018. However, imports are expected to rise by 13.2 percent, reaching $268 billion, meaning a trade deficit of $3 billion, the Ministry of Industry and Trade has predicted.

    The volatility of trade policies of major economies like the U.S. and EU could hurt Vietnam’s exports this year, Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Hoang Quoc Vuong said at a recent review conference.

    Geopolitical tensions and monetary policies which were tightened earlier than expected in many economies are other challenges for Vietnam’s export sector this year, he added.

    Global agricultural supply this year is expected to rise as countries hike up production of own agriculture sectors to avoid reliance on imports, and competition for agricultural and seafood products is set to intensify.

    Meanwhile, imports are forecast to continue to grow in manufacturing sectors that rely on imported materials or machinery.

    “Trade protection looks to be on the rise, especially after the U.S. has raised tariffs on imports from other countries. The US-China trade war is also not showing signs of cooling down,” Vuong said.

    Nguyen Xuan Cuong, Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development, said at the conference that 2019 was going to be a more difficult year after 2018’s windfall.

    “We’ve hit very high targets last year, so going even higher is extremely difficult. In addition, world trade is unstable, U.S.-China trade relations have not returned to normal, and Brexit remains unfinished. These are difficult challenges for our industrial and agricultural sectors this year,” said Cuong.

    He suggested that the Ministry of Industry and Trade supports growth in the agricultural sector, using its influence on supply chain areas like marketing and distribution.

    Vietnam had an export surplus of $7.2 billion in 2018, three times higher than that of 2017 and the highest in the past decade.

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  • Coffee exports jump for Korean firm

    Coffee exports jump for Korean firm

    Namyang Dairy Products said Friday its coffee exports jumped more than 20 percent in 2018 on market diversification and the rising popularity of Korean pop culture abroad. Overseas shipments of its freeze-dried coffee and instant coffee products totaled 36 billion won ($32 million) last year, compared with 28 billion won a year earlier.

    Exports of freeze-dried coffee totaled 2,000 tons last year, compared with 1,500 tons a year earlier. The value rose to 30 billion won from 23 billion won. The company also exported 50 million instant coffee mixes, up from 40 million the previous year.

    A company official attributed the export jump to its development of premium products as well as the overseas popularity of Korean pop culture.

    Namyang Dairy Products said it will ramp up efforts to diversify its export markets to Europe. Last year, Korea’s overall exports of coffee products came to 75,100 tons, up slightly from 75,000 tons a year earlier.

    Meanwhile, Korea’s exports of milk powder surged to 32.5 billion won last year from 26 billion won a year earlier.

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  • Malaysia won’t lose out to Vietnam: Council

    Malaysia won’t lose out to Vietnam: Council

    Malaysia will not lose its competitiveness to Vietnam even though it does not ratify the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). Malay Economic Action Council researcher Mohd Effuan Aswadi Abdul Wahab said there was no significant proof that there would be an increase in investment once a country signed a free trade agreement (FTA).

    “It is said that many companies, especially manufacturing firms will move to Vietnam after the country has ratified the CPTPP as the trade agreement is being seen as opening doors for companies to go to countries which have ratified the FTAs. This is certainly not true,“ he said.

    He said investors would look into various factors, including political stability, better infrastructure, skilled workers and rule of law, before making any investment decision.

    “Investors will certainly look into Malaysia’s economic policies before they make any investment decision.