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  • Hyundai Motor sells more than 10 million cars in China

    Hyundai Motor sells more than 10 million cars in China

    Hyundai Motor, Korea’s largest carmaker, said Sunday that accumulated sales of its vehicles in China surpassed the 10 million unit mark in 2018. The milestone was reached 16 years after the company entered the key neighboring country, which has since become the largest market for new cars in the world.

    Hyundai first sold the midsize Moinca, a localized version of the Sonata, in the first year, which was followed by the Elantra. By 2008, it had increased its lineup to six, with sales exceeding 1 million units. In 2013, the carmaker said it sold 1 million vehicles in the world’s most populous country, with some 5 million cars being sold overall. Up until 2016, annual car sales exceeded the 1 million mark, although this plunged 31.3 percent on year to 785,000 units in 2017, amid a diplomatic dispute over the deployment of a U.S. missile defense system in Korea.

    For 2018, the carmaker said Hyundai sales edged up 0.6 percent from a year earlier to a little over 790,000, with numbers for this year not looking too promising.

  • Confidence Returns to Indonesia’s Financial Markets

    Confidence Returns to Indonesia’s Financial Markets

    After a steep correction last year and pressure on the rupiah, Indonesia expects stability to return to its financial markets this year as foreign capital starts flowing back into the domestic market. The first bond offerings of the year last week were more than three times oversubscribed, with interest mainly coming from foreign investors, who also bought more local stocks than what they sold over the past two weeks, reversing a net selling trend that persisted throughout last year, according to Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) data.

    For Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo, the return of foreign capital inflows came as no surprise. The central bank has been aggressive in raising its benchmark interest rate – the seven-day reverse repo rate – which was increased by 175 basis points to 6 percent over the past nine months in response to tightening by the United States Federal Reserve.

    As it now seems more likely that the US central bank may raise the federal funds rate only twice this year instead of three times, Indonesia’s financial markets have become more attractive to foreign investors as a destination to park their funds.

    “The US dollar is not king anymore this year,” Perry said during a meeting with editors of the country’s largest media groups on Monday.

    Pressure on the rupiah has also eased. The currency currently trades at 14,031 to the greenback, having appreciated 8 percent from its weakest level of 15,253 four months ago, Bank Indonesia data showed.

    Bank Indonesia took measures in concert with the central banks of Malaysia and Thailand on Jan. 2 to reduce dependency on the dollar in bilateral trade. The arrangement will involve Indonesian trade with the two countries, which amounts to about $33 billion per year, being settled in the countries’ respective currencies, instead of the US dollar.

    Indonesia’s current-account deficit, the main culprit for the weakness in its currency, is expected to narrow to 2.5 percent of gross domestic product this year, compared with 3 percent last year.

    American multinational investment bank Morgan Stanley said lower oil prices should help Indonesia lower its current-account deficit.

    “With Brent down 36 percent from its September highs, we should see some relief on the trade balance, which has been weighing on the current account and, in turn, [become] a drag on confidence in equities and performance,” analysts Sean Gardiner and Aarti Shah wrote in a recent note to clients.

    They said oil prices, with the combined effects of the election stimulus, recovering loan growth, dovish monetary policy and rising company earnings have cemented Morgan Stanley’s bullish views on Indonesian stocks.

    The New York-based bank’s top picks include conglomerate Astra International, state-owned gas utility company Perusahaan Gas Negara, state-owned telecommunications company Telkom Indonesia, and lenders Bank Central Asia and Bank Mandiri.

    Bank Indonesia is confident that the country’s economy may grow by between 5.0 percent and 5.4 percent this year, compared with an estimated 5.2 percent last year. Household consumption is also expected to expand by between 5.1 percent and 5.5 percent and investment by between 6.5 percent and 6.9 percent, the central bank governor said.

    Perry said bank loans will maintain their expansive pace of 12 percent this year, in line with an increase of between 8 percent and 10 percent in third-party funds.

    However, one source of concern this year is lower commodity prices, which will affect Indonesia’s export earnings. Perry said the country should therefore increase its exports of manufactured goods, seek new markets for its products and encourage tourism.

    He said Bank Indonesia is comfortable with its current policy and that it can afford to maintain its benchmark rate until March.

    “We are optimistic that 2019 will be better than 2018,” Perry said.

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  • Asian stocks rise again on US-China trade talks optimism

    Asian stocks rise again on US-China trade talks optimism

    Increasing optimism that China and the United States will be able to hammer out a deal to help ease their trade war provided the impetus for more gains across Asian markets today. After taking a battering in December and suffering a shaky start to 2019, confidence is slowly returning to equity trading floors, though dealers remain on edge. Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell provided the platform for a rally last week when he said the central bank had no “preset” plan for lifting interest rates and was “listening” to markets, signalling that the pace of hikes could slow this year.

    Fear of higher borrowing rates was a major cause of last year’s stocks losses.

    The mood among dealers held this week as officials from China and the US hunkered down for trade negotiations in Beijing that have extended into a third day. US President Donald Trump on Tuesday described them as going “very well”.

    Bloomberg also reported White House sources as saying Trump is keen to get a deal done in order to boost stock markets, which he regards as a gauge of his success.

    And The Wall Street Journal said the two were moving in the right direction, with China ready to buy more US goods and services, while further talks at cabinet level were being lined up next week.

    The progress in talks “is fuelling investor optimism suggesting there might be a light at the end of the trade war tumultuous tunnel”, said Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trade at OANDA.

    Hong Kong rose 2.3% – a fourth straight gain that has seen the index put on around 5% – and Shanghai ended up 0.75%, while Tokyo closed 1.15% higher. Sydney jumped 1% with Singapore, while Taipei and Wellington were each more than 1% higher. Manila surged more than 2% and there were also gains in Mumbai and Jakarta.

    Seoul added 2% as North Korean leader Kim Jong Un visited Beijing with speculation swirling that he will meet Trump for a second summit later this year.

    The gains also come after a strong reading on US jobs creation Friday, which soothed worries that the American economy was slowing down.

    “When the dust settles, if it ever does, the fear of recession will prove to be premature,“ Bob Doll, an analyst at Nuveen Asset Management said.

    “We will have growth, yes, slowed from the 2018 pace and we will have… earnings, yes, slowed from the 2018 pace, but acceptable for investors and that will allow equity markets to move higher.”

  • Ringgit likely to trade in cautious mode this week

    Ringgit likely to trade in cautious mode this week

    The ringgit is expected to face a challenging upcoming week as the market uncertainty over trade tensions and a slowdown in the global economy encourage investors to remain risk-off. FXTM Research Global Head of Currency Strategy Jameel Ahmad said that the local unit may face the risk of falling below RM4.15 against the greenback next week.

    “The local currency has actually performed reasonably well this week during a period of heightened market uncertainty due to concerns over a global economic slowdown in 2019, and I actually would have expected the currency to fall lower due to investor reluctance to invest in emerging markets when there is significant market uncertainty,” he said.

    He said the ringgit and its emerging market peers across the globe face significant downside risks heading into the next trading week, as global financial markets continue to be gripped by market turmoil.

    “The first few days of the new trading year have not been kind to financial markets, with a number of global stocks selling off and a “flash crash” in the currency markets leading to losses in a number of currencies including the British pound, Australian dollar and Turkish lira while the Japanese yen surged across the board,” he added.

    Although the ringgit and its Asian peers got away from the flash crash in the market unscathed, he said the prolonged risk-off environment that is hurting risk appetite is encouraging expectations that emerging markets are at risk to another round of selling off.

    “I would keep a close eye on whether the ringgit falls below 4.15 next week, because this will raise market expectations that the currency of Malaysia will gradually return to the 4.20 levels over the coming weeks,” he said.

    For the week just ended, the ringgit closed mostly lower against the US dollar with market sentiment moved by global economic uncertainties and weak Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data released early this week.

    On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the local note strengthened to 4.1340/1370 from 4.1500/1550 against the greenback.

    It went down against the Singapore dollar to 3.0357/0395 from 3.0336/0384 but improved against the British pound to 5.2378/2432 versus 5.2468/2548.

    Against the euro, the ringgit jumped to 4.7144/7199 from 4.7488/7550, but eased versus the Japanese yen to 3.8260/8298 from 3.7597/7653.

  • Vietnam eyes top 15 agriculture spot in 10 years

    Vietnam eyes top 15 agriculture spot in 10 years

    “Vietnam must strive to become a top 15 country in agriculture development in 10 years,” says PM Nguyen Xuan Phuc. “In particular, the agriculture processing sector should be in the top 10,” Phuc said at a conference held by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) on Thursday. “Vietnam must strive to become a global centre for wood processing and shrimp production,” he added.

    The PM also set a 3 percent growth target for the whole sector (agriculture, forestry and fisheries), and a $42-43 billion export target for 2019.

    Phuc asked the agriculture ministry to deploy the best measures and promote innovation to achieve targets set.

    “This is a difficult and challenging task but it must be done, a political duty, if we do not do it, our people’s lives will still remain difficult,” he emphasized.

    In order to achieve the goals, the ministry should develop good legal institutions and remove obsolete ones, the PM said.

    The ministry needs to step up efforts to restructure agricultural and rural development systems, including the creation of key national and provincial products, he added.

    It should also perform well its marketing functions, namely, forecasting, assessing supply and demand, developing new markets, and brand building for Vietnamese agricultural products like rice, shrimp and wheat, in which Vietnam is “a little slow compared to Thailand and Cambodia,” Phuc noted.

    He called for enhanced application of science and technology, hi-tech, biotech, artificial intelligence and other technological breakthroughs of Industry 4.0.

    Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development Nguyen Xuan Cuong said that the sector will maintain its good form while undertaking comprehensive and synchronous reforms.

    He said the sector still has several limitations that need to be addressed, including uneven development of different segments, limited innovation of existing processes, and inadequate managerial manpower for market regulation.

    The sector would aim to build a smart industry in 2019, foster international integration, adapt to climate change, increase value additions for products and services and ensure sustainable development through building better rural areas, he noted.

    Vietnam’s agricultural growth had reached 3.65 percent year-on-year in 2018, the highest since 2012, according to the General Statistics Office.

    Last year, the country earned $22 billion from agricultural and forestry product export, and $8.8 billion from fishery shipment, respectively increasing 10 percent and 6.3 percent over the previous year, said the office.

  • Philippines stock jumps ahead of inflation data, Singapore slides

    Philippines stock jumps ahead of inflation data, Singapore slides

    Most Southeast Asian shares climbed on Thursday, with Philippine markets leading gains ahead of the release of inflation figures, while Singaporean stocks bucked the trend to fall sharply. Philippine stocks gained 1.04 percent, as industrial shares SM Investments Corp and JG Summit Holdings Inc propelled the index. A report shows that the country’s inflation is expected to cool to a six-month low in December, making it likely the Philippine central bank will leave policy rates unchanged this year.

    “The investors were mainly concerned about inflation during 2018,” said Rachelle Cruz an analyst at AP Securities in Manila.

    “So now we’re seeing some buying in the index stocks as there’s better expectation on earnings growth now, since that concern seems to be fading,” Cruz said.

    Local investors appeared to be buying more because some Philippine companies have reached “very attractive valuations,” she added.

    A surge in consumer goods stocks powered a 0.4 percent advance in Indonesian shares.

    Shares in Malaysia and Thailand also rose, by 0.56 percent and 0.71 percent respectively.

    In Kuala Lumpur tourist resort chain Genting Malaysia Berhad added 2.7 percent and palm oil producer Sime Darby Plantation Berhad rose 3.3 percent, while in Bangkok energy stocks provided the biggest boost to the benchmark.

    Meanwhile, Singaporean shares edged 0.81 percent lower, with Thai Beverage PCL dropping 3.3 percent and industrial conglomerate Jardine Strategic Holdings Ltd losing 1.4 percent.

    Vietnamese stocks also shed just above 0.8 percent, with most major sectors in the red. Real-estate stocks like Vinhomes JSC and Vingroup JSC, which powered a rally on Wednesday, fell around 2 percent apiece.

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  • Malaysian economy likely to bottom out in Q2, says AmBank Research

    Malaysian economy likely to bottom out in Q2, says AmBank Research

    AmBank Research, which anticipates further pressure on Malaysia’s economic growth in the first quarter of the year (Q1 2019), believes that gross domestic product (GDP) growth should register slight improvement in the second quarter and pick up thereafter. This is partly attributable to the low base effects as well as support coming from domestic activities and foreign direct investments, and complemented by exports as the electronics cycle slows down, added with softer commodity prices, it said in a note today.

    The research house said it foresees growth prospects remaining weak, anti-cipating Q4 2018 GDP growth to ease to around 4% to bring the full-year growth to 4.6%.

    “With our base case GDP outlook for 2019 at 4.5% with the upside at 4.8%, we foresee further weakening pressure on growth in Q1 2019,” it added.

    Malaysia’s third quarter GDP growth moderated to 4.4%, bringing about a nine-month expansion of 4.7%. Bank Negara Malaysia is due to announce Q4 GDP figures on Feb 14.

    AmBank Research highlighted that the strong foreign approved investments amounting to RM48.8 billion as of Q3 2018, which is an all-time high, is expected to support growth in 2019.

    The growth drivers are seen coming from petroleum refineries with RM17.2 billion investment being approved, followed by electrical and electronics (RM10.2 billion), basic metal products (RM5.7 billion), chemical and chemical products (RM4.6 billion) and rubber products (RM3.5 billion).

    Additionally, it said, agriculture, mining, and plantation and commodities saw a notable increase in approved investments with 54 projects as of Q3 2018, compared with 48 projects in 2017.

    Furthermore, investments in the services sector will continue to boost growth largely coming from local players with RM60.4 billion approved investments compared with RM96 billion in 2017, while foreign investments remained muted at RM9.5 billion as of Q3 2018 from RM28.5 billion in 2017.

    Commenting on the slump in the Nikkei Malaysia Manufacturing Pur-chasing Managers’ Index (PMI), AmResearch said it indicates downside risks with overall demand to be weak, thus causing companies to become less willing to hold stocks.

    The headline PMI fell to a six-month low of 46.8 in December 2018 from 48.2 in the previous month. The demarcation between expansion and contraction is 50.

    The data points to the sharpest deterioration in the health of the goods-producing sector since May. It also extended the current period of decline to two months. The drag largely came from severe reductions in production and new businesses.

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  • Malaysia’s November export growth expected to slow to 3%

    Malaysia’s November export growth expected to slow to 3%

    RAM Ratings expects Malaysia’s export growth to decelerate to 3% in November 2018, as front-loading activities that had temporarily propped up exports by 17.7% in October subside. The rush to front-load orders in October was driven by greater concerns over the planned increase in US tariffs – from 10% to 25% – on US$200 billion (RM827 billion) of Chinese imports, the ratings agency said in a note today.

    RAM is of the view that the export stimuli will remain limited over the next few months – a scenario further supported by a contraction in China’s manufacturing export orders in the last several months.

    In line with the weaker external demand, RAM expects that import growth would ease to 1.8% in November.

    Overall, the trade surplus is projected to come in at RM11.1 billion in November.

    To date, Malaysia has yet to ratify the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) that came into force on Dec 30 with seven members.

    That said, RAM’s head of research Kristina Fong opined that Malaysia’s absence is unlikely to have significant implications for its trade performance in the near term, given that it already has free trade agreements (FTA) with five of the seven signatories.

    “The two remaining countries, Canada and Mexico, constitute a small share of overall exports at just 0.4% and 1%, respectively, thus limiting potential adverse trade diversion away from Malaysia,” she explained.

    Furthermore, she said this trade diversion risk is also mitigated by the fact that the tariff reductions on major goods imported from Malaysia that also overlap with key imports from other CPTPP members, is mostly less than one percentage point.

    While the direct impact of Malaysia’s absence from the deal could be muted in the short run, RAM said it could potentially cause the country to lose out over the long term as regional members in the multilateral FTA could be favoured as foreign direct investment destinations.

    “Standardised rules of origin and lower regulatory barriers brought about by the CPTPP could entice firms to more readily build up supply chains between member countries. This dynamic could in turn foster the development of new industries and global value chains and build new capacities within this alliance,” it added.

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  • Indonesia Posts Narrowest Budget Deficit in 6 Years in 2018: Finance Minister

    Indonesia Posts Narrowest Budget Deficit in 6 Years in 2018: Finance Minister

    Indonesia posted the smallest fiscal deficit in six years in 2018 and less than initially projected, despite turbulence in its financial markets due to capital outflows, Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati said in a Facebook post. The estimated budget deficit last year was equal to 1.72 percent of gross domestic product, narrower than both the government’s original plan of 2.19 percent and the latest estimate of 1.83 percent, Sri Mulyani said in a message posted late on New Year’s Eve.

    As a percentage of GDP, that was the smallest since 2012, the former World Bank managing director said.

    The 2018 budget also has a Rp 4.1 trillion ($283 million) surplus in its primary balance, or budget balance before interest payments, which Indrawati said was the first surplus since 2011.

    “We have done our duty to manage government finances well. The year 2018 was not an easy year with fluctuations in the global economy, commodity prices, capital flows and exchange rate,” she said, while also noting higher interest rates at home and globally.

    The rupiah plunged to its weakest in 20 years in 2018 due to capital outflows linked to worries about its twin deficits, US interest rate increases and concerns about the fallout for Asia from the US-China trade war.

    However, inflows towards the end of the year bounced it back and the currency closed the year 6 percent weaker compared with end-2017.

    Sri Mulyani said 2018 income from taxes and other revenue sources grew “high and healthy.” She previously said higher oil prices and a weaker rupiah had resulted in higher government revenues.

    The minister is expected to hold a news conference on budget realization on Wednesday.

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  • Ramyeon Korea set to cross the $400 million export mark

    Ramyeon Korea set to cross the $400 million export mark

    Exports of ramyeon are sure to exceed $400 million this year, a state food agency reported Wednesday. Shipments of ramyeon totaled $385 million as of the end of November, up 11.2 percent from the same period last year, according to Korea Agro-Fisheries & Food Trade.

    The figure is already more than the total for 2018. Given the sum so far, the monthly average exports are $35 million, suggesting that exports will $400 million by end of this year. South Korea broke the previous threshold of $300 million just last year.

    Ramyeon remains popular in the United States and in Southeast Asia, while China’s boycott of Korean products due diplomatic disagreements has weakened, according to the agency.

    Related data showed Korea exported $8.56 billion worth of agricultural and fisheries products in the first 11 months of the year, a gain of 2.6 percent from last year.

    By country, exports to Japan were the highest, at $1.94 billion, followed by $1.38 billion to China, $980 million to the United States and $530 million to Vietnam.

    The figures indicate a 0.3 percent fall for Japan but increases of 1.2 percent for China, 0.2 percent for the United States and 1 percent for Vietnam.

    Exports of farm and livestock products rose 2.4 percent to $6.37 billion, and those of fisheries goods were up 3.1 percent to $2.2 billion.

  • India rice rates hit more than three-month high, Chinese rules weigh on Vietnam

    India rice rates hit more than three-month high, Chinese rules weigh on Vietnam

    Rice export prices in India rose to their highest in more than three months as a key producing region hiked procurement rates for domestic paddy. Top exporter India’s 5 percent broken parboiled variety was quoted at $375-$382 per tonne this week, the highest since Sept. 7.

    The central state of Chhattisgarh, a leading rice producer, raised the minimum paddy buying price to 2,500 rupees per 100 kg, from 1,750 rupees earlier this week.

    “Importers are not ready to pay a higher price. Exports are likely to slow down in coming months,” said an exporter based at Kakinada, in the southern state of Andhra Pradesh.

    Prices of Vietnam’s 5 percent broken rice declined for the fifth straight week to $385 a tonne as activity remained muted, traders said.

    “Prices fell further because we are concerned that China’s move to impose stricter conditions on Vietnamese rice will have a long-term impact,” a trader based in Ho Chi Minh City said.

    “It’s not clear if China is buying more from Cambodia and Myanmar to compensate for the possible declining shipments from Vietnam.”

    Another trader said supplies from Vietnam will increase from late next month when the winter-spring harvest begins.

    In Thailand, benchmark 5 percent broken rice prices were quoted at $390-$391 per tonne, free on board Bangkok, versus $385-$393 a week ago, as the market is expected to remain quiet until well after the New Year period.

    “This is a reasonable level as we’re nearing the end of the year. There is not much overseas activity and we’re also in the harvesting season,” a Bangkok-based trader said.

    Meanwhile, Bangladesh, which emerged as a major importer of rice in 2017 due to stock depletion following floods, has stepped up efforts to procure more rice locally after output of the staple grain improved, a food ministry official said.

    “The response from farmers is very good and the procurement drive will be continued,” the official said.

    The country’s production for 2018/19 is expected to recover to 34.7 million tonnes, up 6.3 percent year-on-year, according to estimates from the U.S. Department of Agriculture attaché in Bangladesh.

    The South Asian country has procured more than 1.3 million tonnes of rice locally so far in the current season to build state reserves.

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  • Completion of Heaviest and Tallest Cargo Transportation in the History of Uzbekistan

    Completion of Heaviest and Tallest Cargo Transportation in the History of Uzbekistan

    In 2017, Bolloré Logistics Japan was awarded the transportation of materials and equipment from Mitsubishi Corporation for a large-scale fertilizer plant in Navoiy, a city in the central region of Uzbekistan. By September 2018, our team had successfully transported 24 heavy-lift units by hydraulic conventional trailers, including 17 units over 100 MT each.

    Located in Central Asia, Uzbekistan is one of only two landlocked countries in the world surrounded by five countries, namely, Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. This makes Uzbekistan one of the most difficult areas to transport cargoes. The port of discharge selected by Bolloré Logistics varied from one time to another as there was no standard transportation route. Depending on the port of loading & discharge, weight, dimensions, transit time, and cost efficiency, Bolloré Logistics Japan provided the best transportation route and mode for Mitsubishi Corporation.

    The heaviest unit, an Ammonia Converter, registered at 422 tons and the widest and tallest unit, a Package Boiler, recorded at LWH (mm) 12,700 x 8,700 x 10,720 – making history as those were the heaviest and tallest cargoes handled in Uzbekistan.

    The scope of work included Free On Board (FOB) from various ports of loading to Navoiy’s site, together with import customs clearance formalities.

    Timely arrangement of breakbulk vessel, Volga-Don class sea river vessel or barge, road permits, conventional hydraulic trailers and more were requested from our team in order to meet the construction schedule’s deadline with all the requirements.

    As for the heaviest and most voluminous cargoes, Bolloré Logistics visited the vendor’s factories several times prior to the breakbulk shipments and physically checked the cargo figures, lifting points, lashing points, to successfully design the transportation plan accordingly.

    But the most challenging part remained the inland transportation from the Caspian Sea port to the job site.
    First of all, the distance from the Caspian Sea port to the job site is around 1,700 km. These days, most cases of heavy lifts are handled by self-propelled modular transporter (SPMT), just for short distances only, but in our case it was transported by conventional hydraulic trailers, for 1,700 km. As 1,700 km is a long journey, Bolloré Logistics Japan had to anticipate unexpected trouble on the way and prepare a backup plan, while respecting the construction schedule.

    Road surveys were carried out several times and we decided to adopt the safest transportation route. However, it was still not enough as infrastructures were limited and could not withstand transportation of such heavy and voluminous cargo; it therefore had to be improved.

    As a result, Bolloré Logistics improved 24 bridges (including the construction of a new bridge and installation of new piles on another bridge), constructed 15 bypass roads (including two long ones), expanded five corners, replaced electric poles at one place, and widened roads at four points.

    Yet, it was still not enough. During the transportation of heavy lifts cargo, Bolloré Logistics mobilized construction machinery teams such as dump trucks, road rollers, wheel loaders, etc., in order to improve unpaved road temporarily. We also mobilized an electrical team such as cherry pickers, mobile cranes to shut down / remove power cables and other overhead obstacles.

    Thanks to Mitsubishi Corporation’s full cooperation and Bolloré Logistics’ team effort; we were able to meet the cargo readiness in accordance with heavy lift transportation schedule and unloading heavy lifts on time at the site.

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  • Indonesia’s November Trade Deficit Widest Since July 2013

    Indonesia’s November Trade Deficit Widest Since July 2013

    Indonesia posted its widest monthly trade deficit in over five years in November as exports, especially that of palm oil and pulp, slumped, data from the statistics bureau showed on Monday. The deficit in November was $2.05 billion, compared with October’s revised deficit of $1.77 billion and the biggest trade gap since July 2013, according to Refinitiv data. A Reuters poll had expected a deficit of $830 million.

    The rupiah weakened slightly after the trade data to 14,620 a dollar at 12.45 p.m. from 14,600 before the announcement.

    Exports surprisingly fell 3.28 percent in November from a year earlier to $14.83 billion, the worst monthly performance since June 2017. The poll’s median was for a 3.95 percent increase for exports.

    A decline in overseas sales of a range of products, such as palm oil, jewelry, pulp and paper, and crude oil, was the main reason for the drop, Central Statistics Agency (BPS) head Suhariyanto said at a news conference.

    Export revenues from vegetable oils, including palm and coconut oil, fell nearly 19 percent in November from a year earlier due to weak prices, he said.

    November imports stood at $16.88 billion, up 11.68 percent from a year earlier, topping the poll’s 10.50 percent estimate, but down from the nearly 24 percent growth in October.

    Southeast Asia’s largest economy has been struggling to contain imports in recent months. Some measures, including higher tariffs, have been imposed to curb imports.

    Authorities have also sped up negotiations for free trade deals to gain better access for exports, in a bid to reduce the trade gap and support the rupiah.

    Bank Indonesia has also hiked interest rates six times since May to try to attract portfolio investment needed to fund the widening current-account deficit.

    Fakhrul Fulvian, an economist at Trimegah Sekuritas, said the worse-than-expected trade deficit would “lower the expectation of improving current-account balance” in the fourth quarter. But he argued that the central bank would not have to raise rates again because it already did in November.

    Maybank Indonesia economist Myrdal Gunarto agreed.

    “The movement of the exchange rate in domestic market remains manageable and the trade deficit was supported by returning foreign inflows,” Gunarto said. “With that, we project Bank Indonesia will still maintain its policy interest rate at the current level.”

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  • Vietnam’s car imports down 20 pct in 2018

    Vietnam’s car imports down 20 pct in 2018

    Vietnam imported 72,650 cars this year, down nearly 20 percent over 2017, according to the Vietnam Customs. The import value of cars exceeded $1.64 billion this year, up 21 percent year-on-year, the agency said. Thailand and Indonesia remain major suppliers of Vietnam’s imported cars. From Thailand alone, Vietnam has imported more than 52,170 vehicles worth a combined $1.04 billion since the beginning of the year.

    According to customs data, from December 7-13, car imports slowed down by 701 units from the previous week, totaling 2,833 vehicles. Total import value is reported to be $67 million.

    Vietnam’s population is around 93 million, larger than South Korea, but car consumption is only around 300,000 units a year, Mike Dunne, an independent industry analyst who has spent more than three decades in Asia, told U.S. television channel CNBC recently.

    Most cars sold in Vietnam are foreign brands assembled in the country from kits. But a series of free trade agreements have reduced import duties and are opening up the market. A 30 percent import tax on cars from other Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries was scrapped this year.

    There are only 358 businesses in the auto industry in Vietnam compared to 2,500 in Thailand, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade. The ministry also said that Vietnam imports over 90 percent of auto parts.

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  • Vietnam Jan-Nov coffee exports up 23 pct, rice 4.8 pct

    Vietnam Jan-Nov coffee exports up 23 pct, rice 4.8 pct

    Vietnam’s coffee export volumes from January to November have grown 23 percent year-on-year and rice exports have risen by 4.8 percent, official data shows.

    Coffee

    Coffee exports from Vietnam will climb an estimated 23 percent between January and November from a year ago to 1.725 million tonnes, equal to 28.75 million 60-kg bags, the General Statistics Office said in a report on Thursday.

    Coffee export revenue for Vietnam, the world’s biggest producer of the robusta bean, will edge up 2.9 percent to $3.3 billion in the 11-month period, the report said.

    November coffee exports were estimated at 140,000 tonnes, worth $264 million.

    Rice

    Rice exports in January-November from Vietnam were forecast to rise 4.8 percent from a year ago to 5.7 million tonnes. Revenue from rice exports in the period was expected to grow 16.8 percent year-on-year to $2.86 billion.

    November rice exports from Vietnam, the world’s third-largest shipper of the grain, were estimated at 450,000 tonnes, worth $218 million.

    Energy

    Vietnam’s January-November crude oil exports were seen plunging 42.5 percent year-on-year to an estimated 3.6 million tonnes.

    Crude oil export revenue in the first 11 months of 2018 were expected to decline 20.4 percent to $2.1 billion.

    Oil product imports in the 11-month period were estimated at 10.7 million tonnes, falling 8.1 percent from the same period last year, while the value of product imports rose 15.4 percent to $7.3 billion.

    Vietnam’s January-to-November liquefied petroleum gas imports were seen increasing 1.5 percent from a year earlier to 1.3 million tonnes.

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