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Category: Finance

Retail News Asia is committed to providing both local and global retailers with the latest Finance news throughout the Asian market. This on a daily base.

  • Largest Nike store planned to open in Singapore at Jewel Changi

    Largest Nike store planned to open in Singapore at Jewel Changi

    SUTL Corporation will open its eighth and largest Nike Singapore store at Jewel Changi Airport in the first half of this year. Located on the second floor, the duplex store will span more than 1000sqm, and boasts the latest and most extensive range of Nike footwear, apparel and merchandise in the city. Shoppers who visit the store can look forward to customising their Nike t-shirt and footwear purchases at the Nike By You customisation area.

    SUTL Corporation  says the store will seek to enhance shopper engagement with multiple touch points offering customers “a fully immersive Nike experience” as they walk through the store.

    “Despite the rise of e-commerce as a viable option for shoppers, we believe that brick-and-mortar spaces remain an important part of the retail landscape. Nike at Jewel Changi Airport reaffirms our confidence in this space and we look forward to strengthening our partnership with Nike on its journey to transform the sporting world,” said Arthur Tay, chairman at SUTL Corporation.

    SUTL operates in more than 18 markets across Asia-Pacific, distributing products ranging from tobacco, liquor, spirits, beer, water and wine to fragrances and cosmetics for airports and seaports in Southeast Asia and the Indian Subcontinent.

    Jewel Changi is a 10-storey mega complex that will feature gardens and attractions, retail and dining, a hotel and facilities for airport operations.

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  • Malaysia’s economy expands 4.7% in Q4 2018

    Malaysia’s economy expands 4.7% in Q4 2018

    The Malaysian economy grew at a faster pace of 4.7% in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2018 driven by private sector activity. This compares with a 4.4% growth in Q3 2018. For 2018 as a whole, the local economy also expanded 4.7%. According to Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), a rebound in exports of goods and services contributed towards the positive growth of net exports.

    Headline inflation declined to 0.3% from 0.5% in Q3, mainly due to transport inflation turning negative.

    The zerorisation of the Goods and Services Tax and the implementation of the Sales and Services Tax continued to exert an overall downward impact to headline inflation during the quarter.

    BNM governor Datuk Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus said the Malaysian economy is expected to remain on a steady growth path with private sector demand being the main driver of growth.

    She said headline inflation is expected to average moderately higher.

  • Trump says could extend March 1 China trade talks deadline

    Trump says could extend March 1 China trade talks deadline

    US President Donald Trump (pix) said Tuesday he would consider extending the deadline for a trade deal with China beyond March 1. “If we’re close to a deal, where we think we can make a real deal… I could see myself letting that slide for a little while,” Trump said at the White House. But he added: “Generally speaking I’m not inclined to do that.”

    The comments came as the third round of trade negotiations were set to resume in Beijing to avert more than doubling tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports.

    “China wants to make a deal very badly,” he said, and “things are going well” in the talks. And while no date has yet been agreed for a meeting with China’s President Xi Jinping, he said he expects that to happen “at some point.”

    The high-stakes dispute has raised concerns it could spill over into the global economy after Trump last year hit China with 25% punitive tariffs on $50 billion in goods, and then imposed 10% duties on another $200 billion in annual imports.

    The rate on all those imports are set to increase to 25% if no agreement is reached by March 1.

    China’s economy already has shown signs of slowing, while the trade war has shaken the confidence of US businesses, as retaliatory tariffs have raised prices and helped choke off a key export market.

    And Trump’s aggressive strategy has failed to produce a reduction in the US trade deficit with China, which he set as a primary goal.

    He repeated the incorrect statement that China is paying the duties, which in fact are paid by US companies importing goods.

    And economists say much of the intended effect of the duties in reducing imports, has been offset by the devaluation of China’s currency, which makes goods cheaper for importers.

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  • India’s January retail inflation more than halved to 2.05 pc

    India’s January retail inflation more than halved to 2.05 pc

    India’s annual rate of retail inflation more than halved to 2.05 percent in January from a high of 5.07 percent during the corresponding period last year, official data showed on Tuesday. The downward trend in CPI, is due to food inflation which has further widened its negative trend. Fruits, vegetables and eggs continued to witness deflationary trend during January this year, with their prices declining 4.18 percent, 13.32 percent and 2.44 percent, respectively, according to the data.

    Industrial production jumped to 2.4 percent in December, 2018 from 0.5 percent in November, 2018 driven mainly by a sharp spike in manufacturing index which rose to 2.7 percent vs -0.4 percent month-on-month.

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  • Asian shares rise as Trump boosts US-China talks

    Asian shares rise as Trump boosts US-China talks

    Asian stocks climbed Wednesday as US President Donald Trump said he could extend the deadline for a trade deal with China, appearing to boost the prospects of an agreement. Trump said “things are going well” at preliminary talks in Beijing, where top economic officials will gather Thursday seeking an accord to stop sharp US tariff hikes that could damage the global economy.

    “If we’re close to a deal, where we think we can make a real deal … I could see myself letting that slide for a little while,” the US president said of his March 1 deadline.

    He added that he expects a meeting with counterpart Xi Jinping to happen “at some point”.

    The comments all improved market sentiment on the likelihood of a deal to prevent US tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports more than doubling next month.

    Washington is demanding changes from Beijing on what it says are unfair commercial practices.

    Tokyo added 1.5%, Hong Kong rose 0.4% and Shanghai gained 0.2% on the news, following Wall Street’s lead.

    However, some analysts struck a cautious tone, noting that much work needs to be completed before a framework agreement is in reach.

    “The rally in stocks has been based on hope rather than any concrete agreements overnight,” warned Oanda senior analyst Jeffrey Halley, predicting short-term volatility to come as headlines emerge from Beijing.

    Sydney shed 0.3%, with calls for a snap election amid political tensions over refugees adding to underwhelming corporate earnings and subdued metal prices.

    Nonetheless, renewed global investor confidence saw a movement away from the greenback, which has enjoyed a strong rally in the past week, to riskier currencies.

    The pound moved upwards closer to $1.29, despite no-deal Brexit fears as Prime Minister Theresa May was accused by the opposition of “running down the clock” and “playing chicken” with Brussels over talks.

    Trump’s suggestion that another chaotic US government shutdown was now unlikely following a deal struck in Congress over border security further fuelled risk appetite.

    The deal to offer nearly $1.4 billion for construction of a Mexico border wall, as well as other security measures, fell far short of Trump’s demands but has been presented as a workable compromise.

    “I don’t think you’re going to see a shutdown,” said the president.

    Elsewhere oil continued its climb after heavyweight Saudi Arabia slashed output and exports fell in crisis-hit Venezuela.

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  • SE Asia Stocks: Most end lower, Vietnam hits near 2-month high

    SE Asia Stocks: Most end lower, Vietnam hits near 2-month high

    Most Southeast Asia stock markets closed lower on Tuesday while Vietnam rallied for the second straight session to its highest level in nearly two months. Washington and Beijing will commence high-level trade talks this week to negotiate an end to their bitter trade dispute. Despite positive responses from both sides, the sailing of two U.S. destroyers near the disputed South China Sea, and China’s subsequent anger over the move appeared detrimental to negotiations.

    The Indonesian index fell the most in the region, closing 1.1 percent lower in its worst session this year, weakened by a slump in financial and telecom stocks.

    The country’s biggest bank by market value, Bank Central Asia, shed 0.6 percent, whereas Telekom Indonesia lost 2.8 percent.

    The Philippine benchmark slipped 0.6 percent, dragged by consumer and industrial stocks. Meanwhile, the country’s trade deficit narrowed in December as imports tumbled for the first time in a year.

    The stock index has outperformed other exchanges in the region so far in 2019, gaining about 7.3 percent.

    “We are mildly concerned about the surprise pullback in capital goods and raw materials. If this continues, this could show that recent aggressive tightening by the BSP (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas) is starting to bite into investment appetite, hampering the nascent investment-driven growth story that we have witnessed of late,” ING said in a note.

    Meanwhile, Vietnam benchmark rose for the second straight session and ended up 1.2 percent at its highest level since Dec. 17, with real estate and consumer stocks leading the gains.

    Property developer Vingroup JSC scaled 4.9 percent, while Saigon Beer Alcohol Beverage Corp jumped 1.9 percent.

    Vietnam was also chosen to host this month’s summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and his North Korean counterpart KimJong Un.

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  • Malaysia to post 4.4% GDP growth for Q4 2018: StanChart

    Malaysia to post 4.4% GDP growth for Q4 2018: StanChart

    Standard Chartered has projected Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) to remain at 4.4% in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2018. However, full-year GDP is expected to come in lower at 4.6% compared with 5.9% in 2017. Bank Negara Malaysia will release Q4 GDP data on Thursday.

    “We estimate GDP growth of 4.4% y/y, similar to Q3. Private consumption may have eased from the 9% y/y growth in Q3 as the boost from the tax holiday in June-August 2018 likely faded. Nevertheless, a rebound in mining and agriculture activity may have supported growth,“ Standard Chartered said in a research note.

    It added that private consumption was the main growth driver in 2018, accounting for 92% of GDP growth in the nine months (9M) of 2018 versus 64% for the same period of 2017, benefiting from the “tax-holiday” boost and strong labour market conditions.

    Meanwhile, private investment eased (primarily on lower investment in residential and commercial properties in the first quarter) and public investment extended its decline in 9M 2018.

    “Our GDP growth tracker suggests downside risk to our Q4 GDP growth forecast, with our tracker being reliant on more readily available externally driven activity data, such as IP, and less reflective of strong domestic consumption,” it said.

    Standard Chartered forecast 4.9% GDP growth for 2019, saying that private consumption is likely to remain the main growth pillar.

    “Beyond the consumer sector, we are slightly cautious on growth, especially given weak external demand. However, we see two one-off supportive factors. First, goods and services tax (GST) and income tax refunds amounting to RM37 billion (2.5% of GDP) may support spending (but these refunds have not been disbursed yet, posing downside risk to our growth forecast). Second, resumption of production capacity in the mining sector may also help.”

    On monetary policy, Standard Chartered said the latest meeting of Bank Negara Malaysia’s Monetary Policy Committee in January suggested that it is more dovish on the global outlook but still comfortable on domestic growth, underpinned by private consumption and private investment.

    “We maintain our call for Bank Negara Malaysia to keep rates on hold in 2019, with risks skewed towards a cut, especially if external demand worsens further and affects domestic activity.”

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  • India central bank makes surprise interest rate cut

    India central bank makes surprise interest rate cut

    India’s central bank unexpectedly lowered interest rates and, as anticipated, shifted its stance to “neutral” from “calibrated tightening” to boost a slowing economy after a sharp fall in the inflation rate. The monetary policy committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India cut the repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25%, as predicted by only 21 of 65 analysts polled by Reuters. Most polled respondents expected the central bank to only change the stance, to neutral.

    Four of six members of the MPC voted to cut the rates, while all six voted for a change in the stance.

    “Investment activity is recovering but supported mainly by public spending on infrastructure,” the MPC said in a statement. “The need is to strengthen private investment activity and buttress private consumption.”

    Rupa Rege Nitsure, chief economist at L&T Financial Services, called the central bank moves “the perfect policy response in the current circumstances.”

    Indian shares pared gains while 10-year bond yields slid 5 basis points after the surprise rate cut.

    The Indian rupee weakened to 71.69 to the dollar immediately after the announced but strengthened soon after to 71.42.

    The NSE index was up 0.04% at 11068.05 while the 10-year benchmark government bond yield fell to 7.51% from Wednesday’s close of 7.56%.

    India’s last rate cut, to 6.00%, was in August 2017.

    Also, in Manila, the Philippine central bank kept its benchmark interest rate steady for a second straight meeting , saying inflation risk had fallen on lower crude oil and food prices.

    The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas kept the rate on its overnight reverse repurchase facility The central bank paused its tightening cycle in December to allow its five straight previous rate increases, totalling 175 basis points, to work their way into the economy.

    The rate increases appear to be having their desired effect as inflation has started to cool since it hit a near-decade peak of 6.7% in September and October last year.

    The decision to stay on hold was based on the central bank’s view that lower oil costs and stabilisation in food prices would bring inflation under control and could see it back on target as early as March, when it could fall to below 4%.

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  • Oil price drops as global economic concerns grip market

    Oil price drops as global economic concerns grip market

    Oil price fell about 2 percent on Thursday as the market was weighed down by concerns that global demand growth would lag in the coming year. A rebound from late December lows seemed to stall amid worries that a trade war between the U.S. and China would continue, weighing on demand. The market also contended with the possibility that oil producers would not adhere strictly to cuts agreed to last year.

    Brent crude futures fell $1.06 a barrel, or 1.7 percent, to settle at $61.63. U.S. crude futures fell $1.37 a barrel, or 2.5 percent, to settle at $52.64.

    “The correction is stalled, mainly on concerns about demand growth,” said Gene McGillian, director of Market Research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. “There seems to be uncertainty about what is going to happen with the trade talks, with global economic growth and demand in the coming year,” he said.

    In particular, he said, the market is worried about whether demand is sufficient to absorb growing crude production from the U.S.

    “Supply fundamentals have increasingly been turning supportive in recent weeks, but against this the market still worries about the yet-to-be-realised – if at all – impact on demand from weaker macroeconomic fundamentals,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

    Though the United States published robust jobs data last week, global markets remain nervous after China reported the lowest annual economic growth in nearly 30 years in January. That focuses yet more attention on the outcome of U.S.-China talks to end the trade war between the world’s top two economies.

    The oil price also came under pressure as weekly data published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed an unwelcome increase in stocks of crude oil.

    A decline in OPEC production and a squeeze on supply from Iran and Venezuela because of U.S. sanctions have led many analysts to forecast that the market will be balanced in 2019.

    The oil price is showing a 20 percent gain so far this year.

    Price support is provided by supply cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to tighten the market.

    Saudi Arabia, the world’s top oil exporter, told OPEC it had pumped 10.24 million barrels per day (bpd) in January, two OPEC sources said, a deeper cut than targeted in the supply pact. The kingdom pumped 10.643 million bpd in December.

    “We believe that financial markets may be overestimating the risks of a global recession,” said Jean-Pierre Durante, Head of Applied Research at Pictet Wealth Management.

    “Moreover, lower oil prices – prices were between 14 percent and 18 percent lower in January than their 2018 average – are likely to stimulate economic activity and oil demand, particularly in emerging markets.”

    U.S. sanctions against Venezuela’s oil industry are expected to freeze sales proceeds of Venezuelan crude exports to the United States.

     

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  • Malaysian banks to maintain earnings potential this year

    Malaysian banks to maintain earnings potential this year

    Analysts believe that the banking sector will be able to maintain its earnings potential this year, as margin pressure is expected to ease and continued loans growth with stable asset quality. MIDF Research said while the industry’s loans growth moderated to 5.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) as at December 2018 due to moderation in business loans and loans for the purchase of residential properties, the growth was still slightly above its expectations.

    “As for CY19, we expect a moderation in loans growth to 4.7% y-o-y due to the high base effect. We also believe that deposits growth will moderate to 5.3% y-o-y due to lower growth in fixed deposits growth this year,” the research house said in a note.

    “This also means that there will be accretion in value for banks’ book value. Hence, we maintain our ‘positive’ view on the sector,” it added.

    Overall, MIDF Research said it is cautiously optimistic of the banking sector continuing its solid performance in 2019.

    Given the current market conditions, the research house said its top picks for the sector are Maybank, CIMB and Public Bank.

    In a separate note, AmBank Research said it expects that the foreign fund inflows into emerging markets would benefit the share prices of the liquid banking stocks as the US Fed rate hike is tapering off.

    Therefore, the research house said it maintained its “overweight” stance for the sector with “buy” calls on RHB Bank, Public Bank, Alliance Bank, BIMB Holdings, Maybank as well as MBSB. Its tops picks include Maybank, Public and RHB Bank.

    AmBank Research noted that Maybank’s earnings are well diversified and the bank is still recording positive JAWs (a technical term that denotes income growth exceeding that of expenses) with growth in total income outpacing expenses.

    It added that Maybank’s net interest margins could also improve further ahead with the lowering of its funding cost as the group releases the excess liquidity built-up in the first half of financial year 2018 (1HFY18).

    “Meanwhile, dividend yield for the stock continues to be attractive relative to peers with its high payout ratio while potentially offering investors higher returns with the reinvestment of their dividends into additional shares under the DRS (dividend reinvestment scheme),” it added.

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  • Korean export decline picks up speed in January

    Korean export decline picks up speed in January

    Exports have continued to fall for a second month, but at a steeper rate, confirming concerns raised by Finance Minister Hong Nam-ki earlier this week. Although Korea succeeded in posting a trade surplus for the 84th consecutive month, a new record, exports in January fell 5.8 percent, sharper than the 1.2 percent drop recorded in December.

    This is the first time since September and October 2016, when exports fell for two consecutive months.

    According to the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy on Friday, Korea’s exports in January amounted to $46.4 billion.

    Imports also retreated, losing 1.7 percent to $45 billion. As a result, Korea’s trade surplus in January was $1.3 billion, which is one-third of the $3.4 billion surplus reported a year ago.

    The ministry, however, said the decline of Korea’s exports wasn’t exclusive to Korea as other countries have also been falling as well.

    In December, China’s exports retreated 4.5 percent while Japan was down 3.2 percent, Taiwan lost 3 percent and Singapore fell 4.1 percent.

    The ministry said the decline was largely the result of external factors including the trade dispute between the United States and China, uncertainties resulting from Brexit, falling prices of semiconductors and crude and the slowing growth of the Chinese economy.

    Semiconductors, which were the largest contributor to last year’s thriving exports, played the biggest role in pulling down the number in January and December. Exports fell 23 percent compared to a year ago to $7.42 billion. Semiconductors account for roughly 20 percent of all Korean exports. Semiconductor exports have been shrinking after reaching a high of $12.4 billion in September 2018. The figure fell below $10 billion in December for the first time since April last year.

    The ministry blamed the falling price of semiconductors as global IT companies have been delaying additional purchases since the second half of last year. The price of an 8 gigabyte DRAM chip nosedived 36.5 percent from $9.60 a year ago to $6.10. The price of a 128 gigabyte NAND memory has fallen 22.4 percent from $6.7 to $5.2.

    Falling crude prices was another factor that drove down exports. Petroleum product exports fell 4.8 percent to $3.47 billion, while petrochemical goods slipped 5.3 percent to $3.98 billion. International oil prices have been falling since October last year. Last month, the price of a barrel of oil was down 10.7 percent on year.

    But these weren’t the only export items that struggled.

    Mobile telecommunication goods exports, including smartphones, have fallen 29.9 percent while computers exports are down 28.2 percent. Exports of ships fell 17.8 percent and displays were down 7.5 percent.

    Mobile telecommunication exports to the United States fell 9.7 percent, while the figure for member countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) saw a steeper drop of 21.9 percent.

    On the contrary, automotive exports, which struggled throughout 2018, appeared to recover, growing almost at the same rate as a year ago.

    Automobile exports in January were up 13.4 percent to $3.67 billion, largely thanks to growing demand in the United States, Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Exports to the United States in the first 20 days of January were up 43.4 percent to $820 million, Europe grew 20.7 percent to $350 million and the CIS surged 104.1 percent to $150 million.

    Thanks to positive growth in automotive exports, automobile parts exports grew as well, increasing 12.8 percent.

    Steel was another export good that saw an increase thanks to rising prices. When compared to a year ago, it grew 3.3 percent to $2.8 billion.

    By country, China, which is Korea’s No. 1 export market, tumbled 19.1 percent. China, as of last year, accounts for 26.8 percent of Korea’s exports.

    While the majority of the goods exported to China all fell last month, semiconductors, petroleum and petrochemical goods were hit especially hard. Semiconductor exports plummeted 40 percent in the first 20 days of last month to $1.61 billion, while petroleum exports fell 36.4 percent. Petrochemical exports lost 13.7 percent. The three products account for 44 percent of exports to China.

    Exports to the United States rose 20.4 percent to $6.21 billion, largely thanks to import of Korean automobiles, particularly SUVs, which saw an uptick of 43.4 percent.

    EU exports also grew in the double digits at 11.9 percent to $5 billion.

    The ministry said the situation will likely turn around in the second half when semiconductors and crude prices go up. The ministry said that when excluding semiconductors, petroleum and petrochemical goods, Korea’s exports in January only dipped 0.7 percent to $31.5 billion.

    The ministry also noted that new growth engine products like rechargeable batteries are doing well.

    It said that rechargeable battery exports have been rising over the last three years and are now expected to surpass exports of electronic consumer goods, which amount to $7.22 billion.

    Last year, secondary battery exports amounted to $7.23 billion, up 21.5 percent.

    Last month, it grew 14.5 percent year on year to $660 million.

    Biohealth exports have been growing in double-digits for four consecutive years. Last year, they reached a record of $8.15 billion, up 13 percent. Last month, however, biohealth exports fell 1.6 percent to $560 million. The ministry said that it still expects exports of biohealth goods to rise over the course of the year.

    OLED panels and electric vehicles are also seeing an increase in exports. OLED panels last month grew 12.8 percent to $800 million, while electric cars saw a surge of 184.7 percent to $280 million.

    The finance minister said the government will be coming up with measures to help small- and medium-sized exporters that may struggle from the recent turnaround, while Trade, Industry and Energy Minister Sung Yun-mo on Friday emphasized that the government will do its best to revitalize all exports.

    “Our plan will not be concentrated on short-term measures, but committed to all 365 days so that we can achieve $600 billion of exports by the end of this year,” Sung said.

    Korea, last year, reached a new milestone with exports exceeding $600 billion. However, with the global economy expected to shrink, there have been concerns that, this year, Korea’s exports may fall back below that threshold.

    “In a Jan. 21 export strategy meeting, we initiated a pan-government and a private-government joint support system, and since Jan. 30, we started a program of consulting on export difficulties in 15 cities starting with Changwon in South Gyeongsang,” the minister added.

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  • Petrovietnam reports 26 percent hike in revenues last year

    Petrovietnam reports 26 percent hike in revenues last year

    Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group has announced its 2018 results, which show it exceeded its revenue and state budget contribution targets. The state-run giant (Petrovietnam or PVN) reported revenues of VND626.8 trillion ($26.92 billion), 18 percent higher than the target and a year-on-year rise of 26 percent. As of December 10 it had achieved its domestic crude oil production target of 11.31 million tons. Total oil and gas output reached 23.98 million tons (gas converted into oil equivalent).

    The group contributed VND121.3 trillion ($5.22 billion) to the state coffers, exceeding the target by 64.3 percent and 24.3 percent more than the previous year.

    “These achievements came at a time when global oil price movements were difficult to predict, production in mature fields were in rapid decline while new fields brought on stream were small and marginal and there was pressure to minimize costs per barrel,” CEO Nguyen Vu Truong Son said in the company’s 2018 business performance report.

    These are large enterprises with the state equity estimated at VND89 trillion ($3.83 billion), according to auditors’ conclusion.Last year the group wrapped up equitization of three of its subsidiaries: PetroVietnam Power Corporation (PV Power), Vietnam Oil Corporation (PVOIL) and Binh Son Refinery and Petrochemical Joint Stock Company (BSR).

    The proceeds from their IPOs reached VND16.5 trillion ($710 million). Petrovietnam managed to raise VND18.6 trillion ($801 million) from the three firms’ equitization and state divestments.

    With a capacity to process 200,000 barrels of crude a day, it, along with Dung Quat, can meet more than 80 percent of the country’s petroleum demand, reducing dependence on imports.In late last year, the $9 billion Nghi Son Refinery and Petrochemical Complex, one of the key national oil and gas projects, began commercial operation.

    Situated in the Nghi Son Economic Zone, 200 km south of Hanoi in the central province of Thanh Hoa, Nghi Son is invested by Idemitsu Kosan Co, Kuwait Petroleum, Petrovietnam and Mitsui Chemicals Inc.

  • Foreign buying on Bursa slows to RM146.8m last week

    Foreign buying on Bursa slows to RM146.8m last week

    Foreign funds snapped up RM146.8 million net of local equities last week during the holiday-shortened week. “Foreign funds resumed their entry into stocks listed on Bursa for the fourth consecutive week albeit at a slower pace compared to the preceding week,“ MIDF Research said in its weekly fund flow report.

    It said last Monday saw a moderate net inflow of foreign funds worth RM37.3 million, extending the daily buying streak to nine days. However, this foreign buying spree came to an end on the next day as international funds sold RM12.8 million net, coinciding with the local bourse’s 0.4% slide to settle at 1,690 points.

    Risk appetite was weak on Tuesday following the overnight 2.8% slump in Brent crude oil price combined with the anticipation ahead of the Sino-US trade negotiations.

    Notwithstanding this, offshore investors returned to Bursa on Wednesday at a tune of RM65.1 million net, the highest foreign net inflow during the week.

    The catalyst responsible for the boost of foreign net inflows on that day was 0.4% increase in Brent crude oil price as US President Donald Trump’s administration slaps sanctions on Venezuela’s state-owned oil company while Saudi Arabia had a deeper output cuts in January than initially pledged.

    The momentum of foreign net inflows continued on the last trading day of the week as foreign investors bought RM57.2 million net.

    “We opine that the sentiment was partially supported by the Malaysia’s exports in 2018 which grew by 6.7% to reach almost RM1 trillion. Meanwhile, the FBM KLCI was little changed, declining by less than 1% on Thursday ahead of the long weekend and festive season.”

    The month of January 2019 saw a foreign net inflow of RM1.03 billion or US$249.3 million, the first monthly net inflow since September last year.

    “In comparison with the three other Asean markets we monitor, Malaysia has the second lowest foreign net inflow while Indonesia leads,“ said MIDF.

    Foreign investors were the only group which saw a weekly increase in average daily traded value, jumping by 21.0% to remain above RM1 billion for the second week running.

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  • The world’s largest free trade blocs between Japan and EU

    The world’s largest free trade blocs between Japan and EU

    The economic partnership agreement between Japan and the European Union not only forms one of the world’s largest free trade blocs, but also sets digital and copyright rules that will serve as an international template. The EPA will ultimately eliminate EU tariffs on about 99% of imported products from Japan, and Japanese tariffs on roughly 94% of products imported from the EU. It also incorporates wide-ranging regulations on data transfer and intellectual property protection. The aim is to drive the debate on other multinational trade pacts, especially against the backdrop of rising protectionism.

    A centerpiece provision is a ban on governments forcing companies to reveal source code. Chinese cybersecurity legislation that took effect in 2017 empowers the government to request source code from foreign enterprises doing business within its borders. The law also requires “operators of key information infrastructure” to locally store personal information and important data collected and produced by their services in China.

    The Japan-EU trade deal is essentially a rejection of such digital protectionism, instead encouraging the free and secure cross-border flow of data. Companies in participating countries can operate in other members without risking mandatory disclosure of trade secrets.

    The trade deal “will become a precedent for the data field, which is becoming increasingly important, and will lay the groundwork for the creation of subsequent rules,” said Keisuke Hanyuda, partner at Deloitte Tohmatsu Consulting.

    Japan, the EU and other like-minded trading partners seek to craft similar rules for the World Trade Organization, which includes the U.S. and China. But speedy rule-making may be all but impossible at a WTO that has been criticized as dysfunctional. The alternative strategy is to first implement high-quality rules for the Japan-EU trade deal, as well as the 11-member Trans-Pacific Partnership, and bring other countries into the fold.

    Japan and the EU agreed not to levy tariffs on the transfer of data between the two sides. Copyrights on literary works will expire 70 years after the death of the author. Alcoholic-beverage and food brands tied to a region of origin will be mutually protected as well. Authorized producers of Kobe beef and Champagne would be shielded from imitations, for example.

    The EPA covers 27.8% of global gross domestic product by 2017’s number, and 36.9% of worldwide trade. The TPP-11 — formally the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership — accounts for 13.3% of global GDP. Japan sees the EPA and the TPP-11 together adding 13 trillion yen ($119 billion) to its real GDP and creating 750,000 jobs.

    “On top of the short-view effect of stimulating consumption, the inflow of services and investment from the EU will increase competitive pressures inside Japan, and we can expect the effect of prices going down,” said Junichi Sugawara, senior research officer at the Mizuho Research Institute.

    Tariff elimination is expected to have a significant economic impact. EU exports to Japan could jump as much as 34%, while European companies will save an annual 1 billion euros ($1.15 billion) on duties, the EU estimates. Hopes are particularly high for expanded food and agricultural exports to Japan.

    The EPA lowers tariffs on Camembert and other soft cheeses — something Japan did not do for the TPP-11 — up to a certain quota. Japan will eliminate soft-cheese duties for in-quota imports altogether in year 16. Other items, such as European wine, will immediately become duty-free, resulting in a wider selection and lower prices for Japanese consumers.

    Many see the EPA and its benefits as a counterweight to the Trump administration’s anti-globalism. “This is an act of enormous strategic importance for the rules-based international order, at a time when some are questioning this order,” European Council President Donald Tusk said last July, when the agreement was signed. “We are sending a clear message that we stand together against protectionism.”

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  • Asia stocks quiet, dollar firm after upbeat US job data

    Asia stocks quiet, dollar firm after upbeat US job data

    Asia stocks hovered near four-month highs on Monday after a mixed performance on Wall Street at the close of last week, while the dollar firmed against the yen following strong US job and manufacturing data. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was almost flat. It had scaled a four-month peak on Friday along with a surge in its global peers.

    Trade was subdued with many of the region’s markets closed for the Lunar New Year. China’s financial markets are closed all week, while those in South Korea are shut until Thursday.

    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, which is trading for only half a day, edged up 0.2%.

    Japan’s Nikkei added 0.5%.

    On Wall Street on Friday optimism from a surge in January US job growth was offset by a weaker-than-expected outlook from Amazon.com Inc that battered retail stocks. The Dow nudged up 0.26% while the Nasdaq shed 0.25%.

    “Key points for the markets this week will be how the remaining US corporate earnings releases turn out, and whether they are in line with recent upbeat data,” said Junichi Ishikawa, senior FX strategist at IG Securities in Tokyo.

    “While corporate earnings and fundamentals remain key, political developments, notably the US-China trade situation, remain potential risk factors,” he said.

    A US Labor Department report on Friday showed nonfarm payrolls jumped by a stronger-than-forecast 304,000 jobs last month, the largest gain since February 2018.

    That report, along with better-than-expected ISM manufacturing activity numbers for January, pointed to underlying strength in the world’s biggest economy.

    “After last week’s risk appetite revival, the data pulse and the tone of Fed speakers will be important. For the Goldilocks market to continue, we need to find a delicate balance between improving data and still-neutral central banks,” strategists at ANZ wrote.

    Global equity markets performed strongly last week after the Federal Reserve pledged to be patient with further interest rate hikes, signalling a potential end to its tightening cycle.

    Friday’s robust economic data triggered a sharp rebound in US Treasury yields, in turn lifting the dollar.

    On Monday, the US currency was a shade higher at 109.555 yen after advancing 0.6% on Friday.

    The euro was little changed at $1.1456 after getting pulled back from a high of $1.1488 on Friday.

    The Australian dollar was mostly steady at $0.7244 after slipping 0.4% the previous session.

    The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was at 2.686% after climbing nearly 6 basis points on Friday to pull away from a four-week low of 2.619% earlier last week.

    West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US crude oil futures extended Friday’s rally and were last up 0.3% at $55.42 per barrel.

    On Friday, WTI futures had rallied 2.7% on the upbeat US job report, signs that Washington’s sanctions on Venezuelan exports have helped tighten supply and data showing US drillers cut the number of oil rigs.

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