European luxury groups are tracking a tentative rebound across mainland China, led by high-net-worth spending and demand for premium beauty and apparel.
July retail sales across the country’s top 25 luxury labels dropped more than 10 percent under tighter scrutiny on offshore wealth, but corporate earnings forecasts point to an autumn turnaround. Household spending on cosmetics has begun to stabilize, while quarterly reports from fashion houses reveal pockets of early momentum.
Divergence Across Brands
Burberry Group posted a 9 percent increase in Greater China retail sales during its latest quarter, helped by younger shoppers and localized campaigns. The British fashion house partnered with Chinese National Geography magazine on documentary marketing to lift brand engagement among Gen Z consumers.
Gucci parent Kering expects sales in the region to return to positive growth by the fourth quarter of 2026. Chief Executive Luca de Meo called the country a strategic priority as trading conditions improved steadily through the latest reporting period.
LVMH reported steadying demand in mainland stores, citing improving figures for its Sephora retail chain and cognac labels. Swiss group Richemont captured higher tourist spending across Hong Kong and Macau, while Moncler gained ground in market niches.
Uneven Recovery Profile
The rebound remains concentrated among high-net-worth buyers rather than broad middle-income households. That divide keeps the pace uneven across retail categories and price points.
Hermes continues to accelerate sales in the region, while Danish jeweler Pandora is seeing sales declines narrow. For retail operators across Asia, the test will be whether luxury spending broadens beyond top-tier VIP clients before fourth-quarter results land.
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